The prediction comes from Billboard, which will release the updated Hot 100 on Wednesday. The win arrives largely thanks to the record-shattering views for "Wrecking Ball." The video premiered Monday and became the most-viewed Vevo clip within 24 hours, trumping the record previously held by One Direction. Those views, which have since risen to more than 85 million and will be factored into Billboard's calculations for the most popular song, will likely help to provide Cyrus with her first No. 1 single.
Industry experts anticipate that "Ball" could sell as many as 400,000 downloads by Sunday, when the tracking period for the next chart ends. If the song doesn't manage to crack the top spot, it will likely be due to airplay. "Roar" is expected to surpass its radio figures without any contest, which makes sense given the continued airwave dominance of Cyrus' "We Can't Stop."
Cyrus has come close to the top spot on the Hot 100 a few times already, first with 2009's "The Climb," which peaked at No. 4. "Party in the U.S.A." debuted that same year to a No. 2 summit, while "We Can't Stop" managed to hit the same pinnacle in July before descending.
Other songs currently floating around Billboard's Top 10 include Robin Thicke's "Blurred Lines," Lorde's "Royals," Jay Z and Justin Timberlake's "Holy Grail" and Lady Gaga's "Applause."