Even as the dormant Peoples Democratic Movement (PDM) is
reportedly bestirring itself ahead of the 2015 polls, political
opposition is coalescing or pretending to coalesce to generate
sufficient synergy to unhorse the ruling Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).
Ahead of the impending battle, opposition arrowheads – General
Muhammadu Buhari of the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC), Asiwaju
Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), and Dr.
Ogbonnaya Onu of the All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) – are working out
an alliance that would probably see the parties presenting common
candidates in the 2015 elections. LOUIS ACHI examines the unfolding
build-up.
A major problem the opposition political parties have had to contend
with since inception of the Fourth Republic is a curious inability to
plan ahead and the propensity of shooting themselves on the leg. More
often than not, they always waited until the last minute before opening
talks for either alliances or mergers. This flawed footing had always
played into the happy hands of the ruling party.
But currently, it appears that the leadership of the two main
opposition parties, Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) and Action
Congress of Nigeria (ACN), have resolved to plan ahead of time. The
other key opposition party, the All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP), is
from all indications stepping up its new warm disposition for alliances
or possible mergers.
Recently, the CPC leader and its presidential flag-bearer in the 2011
election, Muhammadu Buhari, visited the ACN leader, Bola Ahmed Tinubu,
in Lagos to chart the way forward. That visit was significant in that it
was the first of such after the breakdown of the merger talks in the
run-up to the April 2011 general election.
Pundits knowledgeable in opposition politics in the country believe
that given Buhari’s political trajectory, his early preparations for the
2015 elections is an indication that the opposition wants to get things
right this time around. It is significant to note that Buhari did not
wait to be courted by other opposition parties. Rather, he is the one
who is reaching out to them, which analysts say, it is “a major
breakthrough in the opposition’s quest to present a common bloc”.
Though the details of that meeting were not made public then, it
nevertheless sends a strong signal to the ruling party that the 2015
elections will definitely not be a tea party. Confirming this position, a
source at the meeting recalled some prior history to LEADERSHIP SUNDAY:
“You may recall that both Buhari and Tinubu have repeatedly called on
the opposition to commence early preparations with a view to forming a
strong alliance that will wrest power from the PDP.
As you know, our past experience has shown that late commencement of
talks of any sort, be it merger or alliance, adversely hampered the
actualisation of a workable alliance among the opposition. Therefore, it
is in line with this agenda and the need to actualise the formation of a
formidable alliance that would defeat the PDP that the opposition
leaders have started contacts among themselves.”
Hurdles Ahead…Significantly, in the exercise of
his right, a certain Prof. Cyriacus Njoku had approached an Abuja High
Court, challenging the propriety of President Goodluck Jonathan
contesting for the 2015 presidential election. A counter-affidavit filed
by the counsel to President Jonathan in the suit pointedly deposed that
his client (President Jonathan) was doing his first term in office, a
confirmation that the president could still exercise his constitutional
right in vying for the office in 2015.
“The 1st defendant (Jonathan) is currently doing his first term of
four years in office as the President of Nigeria as provided by the 1999
Constitution as amended. The 1st defendant’s status and position is
formidably backed by the 1999 Constitution. The Constitution of Nigeria
only makes provisions for a President to contest for not more than two
terms of four years each. The Constitution recognises the executive
president’s tenure of office to be four years,” the counter-affidavit
read in part.
In any case, the Abuja High Court fixed October 18 to determine
whether or not President Goodluck Jonathan is eligible to contest the
Presidency in 2015. Justice Mudashiru Oniyangi fixed the date of
judgement after entertaining arguments from parties to the suit filed by
Njoku. Arguing in court, counsel to Jonathan and that of the PDP, Mr.
Christopher Paul and Mr. Kelechi Normeh, respectively, contended that
the plaintiff failed to disclose any reasonable cause of action that
precipitated the suit.
They argued that Jonathan was currently doing his first term of four
years in office as the President of Nigeria as provided by the 1999
Constitution as amended.
For good measure, the PDP further maintained that Jonathan had not
indicated or announced anywhere whether in words or in writing that he
would contest the presidential election in 2015.
Consequently, they insisted that the plaintiff was bereft of the locus to seek such declarative orders against Jonathan.
Meanwhile, the plaintiff who argued through his counsel, Mr Ugochukwu
Osuagwu, urged the court to discountenance the preliminary objections
by the defendants and decide the case on its merit. Though the
presidential spokesman, Dr. Reuben Abati, in a bid to diffuse the
tension in the polity, had said that his principal was yet to give
thought to 2015 elections, the opposition leaders appear to have read
beyond the surface. For them, the cat had already been let out of the
bag.
Let the battle beginFor Buhari, this continuous
slide to anarchy, represented by the extreme security challenges,
should be contained by the opposition by offering an alternative
government. The alleged rigging of the elections by the ruling party, he
said, had robbed the polity of good leadership. He, therefore, warned
the ruling party that any attempt to rig the 2015 polls, as had been
done in the past elections, would lead to disastrous consequences.
His words: “We had decided, together with the party leaders, that by
the year 2015, God willing, it’s either the government does justice in
the conduct of the elections as always claimed by them or it will be a
fierce bloody battle. The magnitude of corruption and insensitivity in
Nigeria’s leadership is legendary, but there is a storm of awareness.
God willing by 2015 something will happen. They either conduct a free
and fair election or they go a very disgraceful way”. Speaking
figuratively, the CPC leader had referred to the Federal Government as
“the biggest Boko Haram”.
The level of corruption in the government circles, especially the
petroleum industry, and the seeming inability of the President to bring
the culprits to book, is of great concern also to the opposition. As a
one-time Minister of Petroleum Resources, the CPC leader is of the
conviction that only a corrupt leadership would watch its appointees
commit such crimes without bringing such persons to book. Why the issue
should be taken more seriously, the ex-general said, is because the
petroleum industry is the live-wire of the nation.
“This kind of thing can only happen under the type of Nigeria’s
current leadership. Nowhere in the world can such things happen now, and
nowhere in the world can government increase the cost of petroleum
product by more than 120 per cent. It is most insensitive. Besides, the
air people breathe, the next important thing to them is petroleum
products,” the CPC leader further noted.
The time, according to the ACN leader Ahmed Bola Tinubu, does not
call for lamentation. Rather, it is time to brace up for action if the
situation must change. “We fought for democracy, we won it, they gave it
to us and, from 1999 till date, a particular political party is in
power and what have we gotten? Lamentation, poverty, lack of motion,
sorrow, excuses and lack of development. They should quit. We are tired
of lamentation. We must stop complaining; let us come to a market square
and confront this government if they are not ready for reform,” the ACN
leader charged.
Former governor of Sokoto State, Alhaji Attahiru Bafarawa, a leading
light in the opposition camp, is convinced that there is no justice and
respect for human dignity in the PDP-controlled Federal Government. The
party, he said, is using the agencies of the state to intimidate and
force members of the opposition to either join them or abandon their
cause.
The former two-time governor on the platform of the All Nigeria
Peoples’ Party (ANPP) shares the same aspiration with his other
colleagues in the opposition; that it is time the PDP behemoth was cut
to size.
Enter the PDMEven as opposition’s plot thickens,
associates of late ex-Chief of Staff, Supreme Headquarters, Maj.-Gen
Shehu Musa Yar’Adua, have intensified efforts to revamp his political
machinery ahead of the 2015 general election. It can be recalled that
the Peoples Democratic Movement (PDM), the political machinery of the
late Yar’Adua, a frontline politician of the aborted Third Republic, is
one of the political groupings that formed the ruling Peoples Democratic
Party(PDP) in 1998.
According to reports, a reluctant former Vice-President Atiku
Abubakar has declined open identification with moves to revamp the late
Yar’Adua’s political group. But reports disclose that other members,
including former Chairman, Board of Trustees (BoT) of the PDP, Chief
Tony Anenih, met in Abuja last week to fine tune the new plot. Other top
members of the group such as a former Minister of Women Affairs, Mrs.
Titi Ajanaku; former governor of old Kaduna State, Alhaji Lawal Kaita,
and Ambassador Yahaya Kwande reportedly attended. Still, other attendees
were former Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, Chief Dubem Onyia;
Mrs. Zainab Boni Haruna, wife of former Adamawa State Governor, Mr. Boni
Haruna; and A.A. Matawellen Hadeija.
LEADERSHIP SUNDAY further gleaned that although the invitation to
attend the meeting was extended to Atiku, he chose to stay away. His
reticence is being linked to the role members of the PDM played in 2011
during the PDP presidential primary where the late Yar’Adua’s political
associates supported President Goodluck Jonathan against him. The former
chairman of the group, Alhaji Farouk Abdulazzi, led the PDM members to
support Jonathan’s presidential bid in 2011. Since then, the group has
been inactive.
However, ahead of the expected jostling for the 2015 general
election, some PDM members had mooted the idea to revive the group to
play an active role in the next elections.
At the group’s last meeting, which took place at the Yar’Adua Centre,
a protem national steering committee, headed by Chief Bode Ajewole, was
constituted with Mr. Godie Ikechi named secretary of the committee.
Other members of the committee include Senator Abubakar Mhadi,
Yar’Adua’s son, Muritala; Dr. Etim Amba, Bashiru Yusuf Ibrahim, Tonye
Princewill and Olupunle Ebo. According to a source, the meeting which
was also attended by some political heavyweights from the six
geo-political zones of the country, discussed issues bordering on
politics.
The source further stated that the new PDM is being anchored on the
vibrancy and resourcefulness of younger people within the group to
enhance the movement’s reinvigoration, complete re-engineering and to
make the movement acceptable to Nigerians.
According to a communiqué issued at the end of the meeting and signed
by Ikechi, goodwill messages and tributes to the late Yar’Adua were
received from members across the 36 states of the federation and the
Federal Capital Territory (FCT) for his efforts in bringing democracy to
Nigeria.
According to the communiqué, members were taken round the bridge at
the Yar’Adua Centre, which is a symbol of the uncompleted mission in
ensuring unity as well as in bringing democracy and good governance to
Nigerians. As part of plans to ensure the revival of the PDM, Ikechi
said a national summit would be organised within the last quarter of the
year on the theme: “State of the Nation”.
But according to some analysts reading between the lines, Atiku’s
reluctance to be openly associated with the new movement is linked to
the dangers of a presidency interested in 2015, reading any such move as
a threat and moving totally against him.
As events unfold, the emerging consensus is that this is the opposition’s finest opportunity to form government at the centre.
The big question remains; Will the opposition parties agree to work
for a common goal? Are they paying attention to grassroots mobilisation,
instead of empty media braggadoccio? Will the appropriate candidates be
fielded for the elections, instead of kiths and kins of party leaders
who have little electoral value? Big questions!