Friday, 12 October 2012

Opinion: The intellectual vacuum in our policy-making

by Ayo Olukotun

Concern and apprehension continue to be raised regarding the quality and character of policymaking in the context especially of such misadventures as the proposed, mercifully aborted, change in our currency denomination, the abrupt renaming of the University of Lagos and the still elusive arithmetic of alleged petrol subsidy removal. Recently too, consternation and outcry trailed the failure to verify certain claims made by the President regarding the status of Nigeria’s anti-corruption rating by Transparency International. President Goodluck Jonathan came under heavy criticism for claiming in his Independence Day broadcast that TI had rated Nigeria as “the second most improved country in the effort to curb corruption after the United States.” Although Jonathan’s media aides attributed the source of the claim to Business Day newspaper, TI stated categorically that it “does not have a recent rating or report that places Nigeria as the second most improved country in the fight against corruption.”
No matter what is revealed by the investigation reportedly being conducted into the embarrassing gaffe, there is no doubt that the controversy connotes wider issues such as the extent to which high state officials take time to crosscheck government claims and data contained in speeches written for them; the intellectual capacity and predisposition of the policymaking machinery to deploy and verify relevant data; the authenticity of such data as well as the extent to which the country is inserted into evidence-based policymaking which indexes a system’s capacity to situate policies and their implementation into the scientific mainstream typified by the best available evidence from research. To take the anniversary day speech howler for example, was it possible for Jonathan, who launched a campaign for an improved reading culture while seeking the Presidential office, to have taken personal responsibility for the text of the speech by instituting verification procedures of crucial data like the one in question? It raises, too, the wider question of how seriously the top echelons of the political class take seriously the production of official speeches and Presidential declarations.
Obviously, the older generation of politicians, some of who were authors and prose stylists in their own rights, preferred to write their own speeches even if they had assistants to collect the data that go into them which of course they would have verified. On this score, Professor Poju Akinyanju’s insightful remarks published in The PUNCH on October 5 are pertinent. Queried Akinyanju: “What are the thoughts of our leaders? Where are the books they have written about the path the nation should take? After the work produced by the likes of Obafemi Awolowo such as Thoughts on Nigerian Constitution, which other political leader has put forward a coherent treatise about his or her vision for the nation?”
The current administration, to be sure, has in the cabinet a sprinkling of well-known technocrats and academics but it is doubtful whether the administration can be said to have created an environment in which evidence-based policy making can flower.
One of the thorny issues in bridging the gap between research and policymaking is to recognise the value-laden nature and cognitive biases of certain forms of policy discourse.
As is well known, economic policies in the industrialised countries including notably the Asian Tigers respond to the ferment both within neo-liberal economics with key economists rejecting its assumptions; as well as to criticisms of it voiced by experts operating outside of the framework. In the Nigerian case, policy continues to be dictated by Bretton Woods institutions or those heavily influenced by them.
One finds the same kind of policy dependence in other areas of governance where the only data and the only perspective available to government is the ranking or rating of Nigeria by international institutions forgetting the fact that sometimes these institutions are none the wiser about Nigerian circumstances. Only last week, the Chief Economist of the World Bank in Africa, Mr Shanter Devarajan, remarked frankly, “We (at the World Bank) don’t know Nigeria’s poverty rate. We don’t know whether it is going up or coming down. There is a lot of controversy surrounding it. There is need to invest in data.” Devarajan, if he chose, could have invested the fragmentary data available to the Bank with an air of know-it-all authority. But in deciding to be frank, he revealed the need for nations that wish to move ahead not to be one-sidely dependent on the often ideological-laden expertise of international institutions.
Launching evidence-based policy making is not just about using expertise to enrich policy, important as that is. It is also about cross-fertilising policy conversation by inviting expertise based on a variety of policy assumptions as well as inculcating the knowledge of a spectrum of experts across the stakeholding community involved in particular policy universes in order to arrive at a balanced and judicious perspective.  In other words, policy makers, and especially political leaders, must have the wisdom and the concern to interrogate expert knowledge which philosophic points of view may be narrowly economistic in the case of issues dealing with the economy or formally academic in the sense that it leaves uncaptured or assumes away a number of issues which are relevant to policy making. To do this, our decision makers must have to employ a favourite expression of Chief Awolowo, ‘mental magnitude’, which refers to a certain intellectual gravitas and fecundity of mind which can enhance policy by the intelligent adoption and creative adaptation of expert knowledge.
There is at least anecdotal evidence that many stakeholders including those with expert knowledge do not get invited at any level to the process of formulating policy often because the governmental machinery is blissfully unaware of their existence and sometimes because policy formulation is often not driven by the genuine concern to raise the quality of governmental output. This is by no means typifies the divorce between policy and science as well as the failure to buttress policymaking by stimulating an inclusive policy discourse that take on board a variety of perspectives and actors including for example non-governmental organisations and single issue advocates.
This lacuna cannot be understood in isolation of an anti-intellectual temper among our current crop of politicians even when they flaunt several degrees and is of course related to a certain crisis of values in which policymaking itself appears to be no more than an instrument in the pervasive game of spoils sharing and primitive accumulation.
YNaija.com

The flood devastation is now an international issue” – President Jonathan


President Goodluck Jonathan, yesterday called for urgent help from Nigerians and other well-meaning individuals for victims of the flood, lamenting that the situation has become desperate as no fewer than 25 per cent of the country’s population had been displaced by the flood ravaging different parts of the country.
He made the appeal at the Presidential Villa, Abuja while inaugurating the National Committee on Flood Relief and Rehabilitation, co-chaired by business mogul, Aliko Dangote, and a former President of the Nigeria Bar Association, Mr. Olisa Agbakoba (SAN).
They were charged with the responsibility to raise funds to complement Federal Government’s efforts at providing relief to the victims and the post-impact rehabilitation of affected persons and communities. Globacom Chairman, Dr. Mike Adenuga Jnr., who was named as the Chief Fund Mobiliser, was absent at the inauguration.
The President said his major concern was how to resettle the displaced persons immediately after the flood recedes from mid-November as projected. Jonathan regretted that some states of the federation, including his home state Bayelsa, were about 70 per cent submerged. He said his government was sad that Nigeria was facing what he called its unfair share of the global phenomenon and tasked members of the committee to ascertain the impact of the flood on the people raise funds to complement or augment government’s efforts to mitigate the pains and advise government on other things incidental.
He said he expected the job to be completed in 12 months. Jonathan said, “When people face this kind of flood devastation, it is no longer a national issue, it is an international issue because of the magnitude of refugees. “This is a country of 167 million as at November last year’s projection. It’s almost a year since that figure was released though the Commission is yet to release fresh figures. We are definitely more than that now. “
And when you consider the fact that about 25 per cent or so of these communities are impacted by that, though the actual figure of the land and area affected is yet to get to us, have been affected by the flood. “I spoke to my governor yesterday, he was so desperate because he said people do not even have food because all the channels of communications to Bayelsa State has been blocked by water. “So you have enormous responsibility but we believe you are equal to the task.”
“The President seized the occasion to again sympathize with the victims, assuring of his government’s commitment to ameliorate their suffering. “Let me again emphasis and express my empathy with victims of flood across our country. We as a Government feel terribly worried, we feel sad that this ravaging flood is really affecting so many of our people.
There are so e states that 50 to 70 per cent including my state are under water. This is why in addition to measures we have taken in terms of releasing funds to government agencies and directly to state governments to assist in helping to manage this disaster, we feel compel to set up this committee to generate funds to assist government in managing these people. The committee’s key responsibility is one, to have an overview of the degree of impact of the floods.
Most of you as individuals or as organizations have been going round and helping, you have the bird’s eye view of what the country is facing. You are to especially raise funds to complement or augment Federal Government’s effort to cushion the immediate effect if flooding and the resettlement and recovery of affected persons.”
This is most critical because when people are under stress, they can endure a lot but the flood will surely recedes we believe before the middle of November the flood will go if it is the normal flood we have witnessed before. After that what happens to the people, that is even what disturbs me more than when people are under stress.
 DailyPost

Inflation may drop to 11.03% – Report


Ahead the release of September inflation figures, analysts have predicted a further decline in inflation rate to 11.03 per cent from 11.70 per cent and 12.8 per cent in August and July respectively.
According to FSDH Securities Limited, it arrived at the forecast based on the report that the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) Food Price Index (FFPI) for September 2012 which was released on October 04, showed that the Index averaged 216 points in September, up by 1.4 per cent from August figure on account of a spike in the global prices of dairy products, meat and cereals products, but drop in the international prices of sugar and oils tempered the level of the rise in the Index for the month of September.
The firm explained the value of the Naira appreciated marginally against the US Dollar in August by 0.01 per cent, in addition to the appreciation of 0.03 per cent in July. “Consequently, the appreciation in the value of the Naira in September lowered the pass-through effects of the prices of imported consumer goods in Nigeria between the two months under review,” it added.
However, analysis of the consumer prices it monitored across the country in September showed the prices of beans soared by about 100 percent while prices of rice increased marginally by about 0.25 per cent. “The drastic rise in the prices of beans was due to the security challenges in Maiduguri, Borno state, where beans is majorly grown in the country.
Prices of tubers declined marginally while the prices of vegetables remained fairly stable. Also, prices of educational materials increased on account of the beginning of the new academic session. Moving forward, the recent flood disaster in Kogi, Benue, Anambra, Edo, Delta, Ebonyi, Bayelsa, Edo and Imo states which destroyed a lot of farmlands may lead to food shortage and cause prices of food to increase drastically to end the year, except the Federal Government releases food from its strategic reserves.
The affected items are: rice, maize, yam, cassava, fish, cattle and vegetables.” “FSDH Research is of the opinion that inflation rate (year-on-year) in the month of September 2012 should moderate downward due to the effect of positive factors mentioned above.
“Our estimate points to an increase of 80 basis points in CCPI to 137.7points in September, which will produce an inflation rate of, 11.03 per cent, 67 basis points lower than 11.70 per cent recorded in the month of August. The Composite Consumer Price Index (CCPI) would have to increase by 1.42 per cent between August and September to produce an inflation rate higher than 11.70 per cent.”
“Meanwhile, it is unlikely that CCPI would increase by 1.42 per cent between the two months. We note that the weight of beans in the food basket is not substantial because consumers spend more money on rice than beans. In addition, the weight of Education in the CCPI is only 3.94 per cent.
Therefore, increase in the prices of these two items will not significantly impact the CCPI.” The monthly CCPI for All Items for the month of August stood at 136.6 points, a marginal increase of 0.67 per cent between July 2012 and August 2012. The CCPI 12-month average increased to 11.8 per cent in August from 11.6 per cent in July 2012.
 BusinessNews

Nigerian pilgrims’ plane denied entry into Saudi Arabia


Kabo aircraft conveying Nigerian pilgrims had to make a forced landing in Sudan capital, Khartoum on Wednesday after being denied entry into Saudi Arabia. The aircraft with Reg. No. N9-1143, was conveying pilgrims from Kaduna State but denied landing by the authorities of the King Abdul-Aziz International Airport, Jeddah, due to communication lapses as regards its condition.
It was gathered that the Saudi aviation authorities denied landing permit to the aircraft after it had entered its (Saudi) airspace. The refusal forced the pilot to make a detour to neighbouring Khartoum Airport to enable Saudi and Nigerian aviation authorities to resolve the issue of the aircraft’s airworthiness.
Daily Sun gathered that a routine maintenance check had been conducted on the aircraft and certified airworthy by the Nigerian Civil Aviation Authority (NCAA) before it left Nigeria in the wee hours of Wednesday. But the information on the routine check was said not to have not reached the Saudi aviation authorities as at the time the aircraft entered the Saudi airspace.
Head of Media, National Hajj Commission of Nigeria (NAHCON), Mallam Uba Mana, confirmed the incident but said the aircraft, which had 523 pilgrims on board, had since landed at the King Abdul-Aziz International Airport, Jeddah, late afternoon of Wednesday. He said the incident had nothing to do with the ongoing row over male guides to female pilgrims or related to technical problem but due to communication lapses.
 DailyPost

Opinion: Sentiments have never built a developed nation

by Bobby Udoh
The essential first step to the building of a developed Nigeria is that you and I accept responsibility for Nigeria.
So far this year, we have witnessed so many events that have stirred deep sentiments amongst the majority of Nigerians. From the fuel hike protest, to the various Boko Haram killings, to the Jos killings, to the recent Mubi killings, to the huge flooding, to our 52nd independence anniversary, to the Bakassi handover, to the Dana Air crash, and to the recent jungle killings at the University of Port Harcourt community. May comfort and healing come to the surviving victims, and to the families of those who died. But all these are signs of our underdevelopment as a nation and people.
It is true that the calamities and the casualties are rampant and rightfully, citizens have raised their voice. But it is also true that just the expression of these sentiments have not and will not build our nation.
For all our sentiments, Nigeria remains underdeveloped and doesn’t even qualify to be called a developing nation because she is not moving forward. Until we convert these sentiments into concrete actions, these stark realities and the response they are meant to generate from us will continue to elude us. The outcome will be the continuous underdevelopment of our nation (that is, more calamities).
Every developed nation and those who are developing follow a particular path and that is a critical mass of citizens who have committed their thoughts, words and actions to the building of their nation. To them, the work of nation-building is not a task left to those in government but primarily that of the citizens of whom the government officials (past, present & future) originate from.
Putting aside our sentiments, what must you and I do to build a developed Nigeria?
We Must Study
This is the mindset phase which is critical to transform us from our current mindset that has made our nation remain underdeveloped.
To study we must:
Accept Responsibility: The essential first step to the building of a developed Nigeria is that you and I accept responsibility for Nigeria. We may not be responsibility for how she came to her current state but for us to create a better future we must take ownership (responsibility). We can only change what we own. Let the failure of government and her agencies be ours; let the violent killings of Nigerians by terrorist and armed robbers be our pain; let the untrained child & adult be our burden; let the death of so many Nigerians due to poor medical facilities cause us to cry out; etc.
Undertake a Review: We do need to ask ourselves why we need a developed Nigeria, why it has to be us, and what values we must hold to do this. Accepting responsibility provides the willingness but the review provides the assessment of our motives and purpose which will result in the resetting of our values.  The review phase is the soul searching within to produce a people not only willing & committed but also with a full awareness of why we need to change and the sacrifice it entails.
Identify our Area of Focus: All sectors of our nation are in a state of emergency (including Faith or religion) because of our underdevelopment. But we all have different passions and areas that most burdens us. Using that knowledge, we must identify areas we can initiate & sustain change using our specific God-given gift, skills, experience and resources. We must ask questions like what am I good at? What do I love doing? What needs can I serve? What is life asking of me? What gives my life meaning and purpose? What do I feel I should be doing?
Draw up a Plan: At this stage we take our thoughts & desires and put them into a plan of action with timelines. An efficient & effective action plan reflects a thorough study phase and also it ensures we can have an effective Practice.

We Must Practice
This is the action phase and its effectiveness is dependent on how much work we’ve put into the mindset (study) phase.
Launch Initiatives: The first type of initiative is the pioneering initiative and this is making the opening move, leading the way, in an activity. It does not necessarily mean doing something never done before but starting an action to address a specific problem or harness a new opportunity. It could be a business (like a new power solution), research (like malaria vaccine), invention (like new & cheaper building material in place of cement), social work (like homes for HIV patients), advocacy group (like anti-corruption group), political movement (like a new political party), etc.
The second initiative is the participating initiative and that is participating in an existing activity. It could be general activities such as paying taxes, punctuality, observing traffic rules, participating in the electoral process as a voter, candidate or party member, participating in the activity of a charity/foundation/advocacy group as a volunteer, participating in an enterprise or business that will address a national issue, etc.
Sustain Our Momentum: Initiative is focused on taking the first step while momentum is focused on sustaining that step and giving it more pace and scope.
Leadership expert, John Maxwell, puts it best, “A train travelling 55 mph on a railroad track can crash through a 5-foot thick steel-reinforced concrete wall without stopping. That same train, starting from a stationary position, won’t be able to go through an inch-thick block in front of the driving wheel”. This illustrates the power of momentum.
Momentum produces people who see less problems but more possibilities; they focus less on the past but more in the present & future; they gain confidence from results so far, which then leads to more creativity, can-do attitude, discipline, teamwork, increased passion, sense of fulfilment and courage to launch new initiatives. In effect, momentum turns ordinary Nigerians doing ordinary things to great Nigerians doing great things.
As part of practice, we must initiate and sustain the culture of reading, to update our knowledge, give fresh insight, and to keep us humble. We must invest sufficient time into reading books, journals, and blogs to enable our continuous personal, faith and professional development.

Summary
Only a developed Nigeria will significantly reduce the calamities we witness amongst every day and to achieve that, a huge demand will be placed on our resources (time and money). Hard work remains the key ingredient for success and that is what is required of us. It is therefore time we cut back time spent at religious, sporting & other leisure events and pour more time into the continuous study and practice of nation-building, as only this will guarantee the development of our nation.
So I ask you, what would you do to guarantee that Nigeria becomes a developed (free, just and secured) nation?
YNaija.com

“We didn’t do it!” – Osun PDP denies involvement in speaker’s wife’s kidnap

by Isi Esene
The Osun State Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) has dissociated itself from any involvement in the abduction of Muibat, wife of the speaker of the State House of Assembly, Najeem Salam.
The statement was made public public yesterday by Diran Odeyemi, the state PDP director of Publicity, Media and Strategy, who said it was criminal for any right thinking man to think the party is capable of doing so.
According to reports, Salam was kidnapped on Tuesday by hoodlums while returning home from her shop at Oke-Oyo area of Ejigbo in Osun State.
Odeyemi said, “It is criminal of any right thinking person to think that way. The PDP, as one of the opposition parties in the state, is not violent and more so, we don’t have anything to do with the speaker.
“As a matter of fact, we in the PDP even sympathise with the speaker for the kidnap of his wife by suspected kidnappers.
“And it is our wish that she comes back home unhurt,” Odeyemi added.
While speaking on the kidnap, Kunle Oyatomi, the ACN director of Publicity, Research and Strategy in Osun State urged the Federal Government to tackle desicively the problem of insecurity in the country.
Oyatomi further urged the state police command to do everything possible in securing the immediate release of Muibat from her captors and ensure her safe return to her family.

Third Mainland Bridge set for total closure on Sunday

by Isi Esene
The Lagos State government has announced that there will be a full closure of the Third Mainland Bridge on Sunday. The bridge is billed to undergo repairs and traffic will be diverted from the hours of 6am till midnight.
Kayode Opeifa, commissioner for Transportation announced this on Thursday stating that the closure is meant to allow the contractor, Borini Prono, complete the concrete casting of the expansion joints currently undergoing repair works on Oworonshoki-bound section.
According to reports, the concrete casting and drying process required zero vibration, hence the diversion of vehicular traffic away from the bridge from Adeniji Adele to Oworonshoki end on Sunday.
Opeifa said motorists moving inwards Lagos Island and Ikeja would not be allowed access to the bridge from 6am to 12am during the diversion.
Opeifa advised motorists approaching from Lagos end to follow the diversion at Adeniji Adele Interchange to connect Carter Bridge, link Iddo interchange where they could easily connect Ikeja, Ojota, Ketu, Ikorodu, Agege, Lagos Ibadan expressway, Alimosho, Oshodi, Abule Egba, among others through Eko Bridge, Herbert Macaulay Road and Apapa-Oshodi Expressway.
The Commissioner added that those going to Lagos Island as usual would be diverted at Oworonshoki to connect Ikorodu Road (via Anthony interchange) to link either Jibowu to Muritala Mohammed Way to Iddo or continue to Eko Bridge through Funsho Williams Avenue or Agege Motor Road (via Oshodi Interchange) to link Moshalasi to either Jibowu to Muritala Mohammed Way to Iddo or continue to Eko Bridge through Funsho Williams Avenue or in the alternative use Apapa-Oshodi Expressway through Mile 2 to connect Ijora then Lagos Island.
The commissioner said, “Road users should adhere strictly to traffic rules and regulations during the remaining period for the completion of the repair works on Third Mainland Bridge.”
The commissioner commended the patience of Lagos motorists since the commencement of the repair works on July 8 and appealed to road users to bear with the government assuring them that the repairs would soon be over.
YNaija.com