In
a functional democracy, the arguments and divisions currently wracking
the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) would be seen as a sign of the
healthy debates and disagreements that are critical to democratic
progression and the constant alignments and re-alignments that are
permanent features of the electoral process.
But Nigerians now know better because the people currently in control
of the PDP have no altruistic guiding principles and ideology to shape
the party and promote good governance. The PDP’s top brass: President –
Goodluck Jonathan, former president and BoT chairman – Olusegun
Obasanjo, National Chairman – Bamanga Tukur, former and new BoT Chairman
– Tony Anenih, Chairman of the Nigerian Governors Forum – Rotimi
Amaechi and a number of Governors have been engaged in a naked dance
that amounts to exhibition of little more than raw and unbridled
ambition.
At the root of the argument is not about which approach to adopt to
tackle the enormous challenges confronting Nigeria. No one is talking
about how to address the problem of our 20 million youth who have no
jobs and are losing hope, or how to improve our collective security.
None of the naked dancers is interested in seeking solutions to the
problems of growing poverty, de-industrialization, deteriorating
infrastructure, rising inequality, falling standards of education or
decaying healthcare. None of the combatants in the PDP’s disagreements
is concerned with tackling Nigeria’s mind-boggling corruption, impunity
or even how to prepare for the day when our oil revenues will dry up.
The one and only thing on the minds of these PDP apparatchiks is
personal ambition, the pursuit of power and the senseless looting and
primitive accumulation associated therewith.
In essence, what should be a public debate between and among the
ruling party members to chart the path of progress for the country it
has ruled since 1999 and has promised to govern for at least 60 years
has been reduced to a voluble public fight about who gets what, where,
how, and knowing the PDP for what it has become, how much! Eventually,
because the fight is not predicated on any ideological or principled
stand, whether by the instrument of the EFCC or the sheer need to remain
on the corridors of power, all the gladiators will fall back in line at
the right moment in order for the party to continue its nuclear war on
the Nigerian people.
A year or two ago, it would have gotten away with it, too. Except
that things are beginning to change, and a two-year marathon that would
determine the future of Nigeria’s 170 million people is beginning to
take shape and form: From mysterious campaign posters appearing
overnight, PDP governors that have gone missing for months, trillions of
stolen fuel subsidy and pension funds, unneeded and unsolicited 10
million cell phones for farmers, the first lady’s death and
resurrection, endless political intrigues, revelations and long knives
within the PDP – up to the emergence of a new opposition political
party, the All Progressives Congress (APC), the tone for the 2015
elections seem to be taking shape.
Now, the issue is: what does the current situation and evolving
developments entail, and what are their possible implications for the
2015 general elections, if we ever get there? Does the current discord
within the ruling party signal the beginning of the end of its
existence? Will the formation of the APC which is the merger of the four
major opposition parties – ACN, CPC, ANPP and parts of APGA, signify
the emergence of a ‘new’ and better Nigeria for the over 125 million
Nigerians below the age of 35? Will the new party, APC survive its
teething challenges and emerge with a manifesto and truly representative
yet formidable candidates that will sweep away majority votes at the
poles?
As all parties gear up towards 2015, we need to ask: Is President
Jonathan capable of participating in the election without deliberately
dividing the country along ethnic and religious lines for his short-term
political gain? Is INEC willing, able and capable of delivering free,
fair and credible elections in 2015? Can we trust INEC not to be what
the opposition perceives it to be – a mere tool and toothless subsidiary
of the PDP? How do we as individuals and stakeholders contribute our
quota to ensure that we do not remain pawns in the hands of selfish
politicians? Can we see through the antics of the false prophets who
promised fresh air and transformation, only to lead us to the path of
division and destitution?
There is no gainsaying that the PDP is in turmoil and chaos at the
moment. On the surface, it began in January with the call by PDP
governors for the sack of the party chairman – Bamanga Tukur due to the
latter’s interference in the Adamawa PDP politics. This was followed by
the move against Obasanjo’s henchmen in the party which led to the sack
of its National Auditor Chief Bode Mustapha and his replacement by
Alhaji Fatai Adewole Adeyanju while National Vice Chairman, South West,
Segun Oni and National Secretary Oyinlola, were somehow also removed.
Following the above, the PDP set up its own Governor’s Forum with
Governor Godswill Akpabio of Akwa Ibom emerging as chairman in an
attempt to polarize the already existing Nigeria Governor’s Forum which
has the ‘stubborn’ Governor Rotimi Amaechi of Rivers state as chair. As
stated, the whole saga is indicative of PDP’s desperation to hang on to
power and not allow democracy take its course. It has been alleged that
this new forum was set-up to trim down the influence of Amaechi who is
seen as too independent and non-conformist for the current PDP
leadership. Those who know the PDP well will tell you that the quarrels
can easily be resolved as soon as some of the excess crude, the looted
fuel subsidy and pension funds are released and redistributed – and the
gravy train that is the PDP will begin to roll again. But that is
another matter for another day.
For now, the newly formed APC seems to have a grasp of what they are
doing. Just a week ago, the opposition governors in the APC made a bold
statement by holding the party’s third meeting in Maiduguri – the
capital and base of the Boko-Haram insurgency. They also donated N200m
to victims of the crisis. So far, the current government has neither
been able to curb the insurgency nor has it set up a relief fund for
victims of the menace. It would be recalled that President Goodluck
Jonathan, once said he could not visit Maiduguri because the ‘airport
was not in good shape’ and just about a month before was ‘too busy’ to
visit and sent his deputy, Namadi Sambo. The APC governors have now
shamed Jonathan to visit Maiduguri and recognize Borno as one of the 36
states of Nigeria!
The emergence of the APC, apparent crumbling of the ruling PDP
alongside the deregistering of political parties by INEC appears to be
gradually paving way for a pan-Nigerian opposition platform capable of
ending the PDP’s hegemony. Although the two-party system may have its
disadvantages, it would be advantageous for Nigeria by providing a
sturdy check and balance as well as choice for Nigerians. It will also
reduce the clutter and confusion created by numerous existing
‘briefcase’ parties which possess no clout. In fact, some political
economists believe that the two parry system leads to political
stability and in turn, economic growth.
In spite of the positive direction we are headed with the merger of
the major opposition parties, the APC on its part has its work cut out
for it to stand as a stronghold in the 2015 elections. It has to ensure
that we do not eventually become another failed merger bereft of
individuals who truly have the interest of the nation at heart.
Individual ambitions have so far been shelved in favor of truly
democratic ideals, and this is encouraging. As APC, we must reach out to
the populace at the grassroots and earn their confidence rather than
appease the ‘godfathers’ to ensure political advantage. It is gratifying
that the inter-party merger teams led by Chief Tom Ikimi have focused
on these true democratic principles in shaping the APC’s birth.
As everything is being set in place for the elections in 2015, the only
way more bloodshed would be averted is by ensuring free and fair
elections. This is the only way to save our nation and its democracy.
Looting in advance of 2015 to buy up votes, militarization and
deployment of coercive instruments will not work but only lead to open
confrontation and violence. The electorate must be encouraged to vote by
providing a safe and serene atmosphere devoid of any intimidation for
voting to take place. If neighboring Ghana has been able to conduct
several successive peaceful, free and fair elections, then we have no
reason not to better that record, given our vast human and material
resources.
It is time for our elites to rise to the challenge and actively
engage in the political activities, and encourage the involvement of all
citizens in the electoral process, knowing that sovereignty lies with
them. It is time for our professionals and Diaspora to move from being
armchair or online critics to work towards informing the broader
electorate that it is only when we elect people with proven track
records of excellence, hard work and integrity that we can truly move
forward as a nation. Nigerians must understand that voting on the basis
of tribe or religion has never, and will not lead to the emergence of
the Nigeria of our dreams. Those that voted for Jonathan for these
reasons can see the unintended consequences of their decision.
As we watch the PDP’s naked dancers strut their raw ambitions in
public, Nigerians need to appreciate the power of their vote and do all
they can to guard it jealously. Knowing that the PDP will do everything
under the sun to remain in power at all costs despite growing
deteriorating infrastructure, insecurity, poverty and unemployment in
Nigeria, it is clear that we must all play active roles in what may be a
tough two-year marathon towards 2015. Eventually, it is the power of
our vote – how wisely we use it – and the deterrent structures to ensure
PDP and its partners do not write and declare fictitious election
results, that will free us from the current regime of corruption,
impunity and incompetence.