Monday, 16 August 2021
IBB under fire for saying June 12 was annulled to save Abiola By Emmanuel Oladesu, Deputy Editor /Innocent Duru/Justina Asishna, Minna/Alao Abiodun
•Afenifere, NADECO blast ex- president
Prominent pro-democracy crusaders and rights activists yesterday chided former military president, Ibrahim Babangida following his latest claims that he annulled the June 12, 1993, presidential election because there would have been a coup in the country.
The election was won by Chief Moshood Abiola, the candidate of the Social Democratic Party (SDP) who later died in detention after he declared himself president.
Babangida who spoke on Arise Television said there would have been a violent change of government if the election had ‘materialised.
He ruled Nigeria between August 27, 1985, and August 1993.
He will be 80 years old later this month.
He said: “If it materialised, there would’ve been a coup d’etat — which could have been violent. That’s all I can confirm.
“It didn’t happen thanks to the engineering and the ‘maradonic’ way we handled you guys in the society. But that could’ve given room for more instability in the country.
He alleged massive pressure from within and outside the military to cause trouble on account of the outcome of the election.
“The military can do it because they have the weapons to do it, and others (civil society groups) can use agitation,” he said.
Reacting to the Babangida claims, Afenifere and NADECO chieftains said the former military ruler was turning history on its head.
Afenifere leader, Chief Ayo Adebanjo, said Babangida never wanted to vacate office in the first place and had a predetermined agenda.
He lamented that that posturing was typical of ambitious military rulers from the North who loathed democratic transition and succession.
Adebanjo said the annulment contributed to disunity and suspicion that an ethnic group was bent on dominating other groups.
He maintained that the military drivers of the transition programme have gone into history as enemies of the people.
Adebanjo said: “Babangida never wanted to go. He was changing the goal post during the game.
“They only want unity according to their terms. They want to dictate the conditions for unity. We should sit down and agree. Otherwise, the deceit will continue.”
An Afenifere chieftain, Senator Olabiyi Durojaye, lamented that the historic poll results were cancelled after Nigeria held a free and fair exercise.
He said the annulment was annoying because Nigerians were full of expectations about a new dawn in the post-military era.
Durojaye, who was detained by the military over the pro-democracy struggle, said if Babangida had any information about an imminent coup, there was no evidence that he shared it with his colleagues in the Armed Forces Ruling Council (AFRC) and other critical stakeholders.
Noting that many have not overcome the shock of the annulment, he said:”History will take care of all the actors.”
NADECO chieftain and Third Republic House of Representatives Chief Whip, Olawale Oshun, accused Babangida of engaging in what he described as deliberate falsehood.
He said no one would buy unfounded rationalization and deceit
Oshun, who is the leader of Afenifere Renewal Group(ARG), said Babangida has God to contend with because his action led to the death of many young people along Ikorodu Road, Lagos when Abacha’s men opened fire during protest.
He said IBB’s account contradicted those of his colleagues in the AFRC, who were also taken aback by the annulment of the popular will.
Oshun said Babangida never wanted to vacate office, adding that in that plot to perpetuate the military, Gen. Sani Abacha was smarter.
He also lamented that the former military President polarized the polity in a bid to remain in power.
Oshun said:”He did not want to go. I was in the House of Representatives at that time. I knew the efforts he made to compromise the House to remain in office. The House was polarized.
“Of course, there were some ambitious men around him: people like Mark, who were not pleased with an Abiola presidency. But, officers like Col. Umar stood their ground on the election.”
While arguing that IBB lied during the television interview, he added:”He should tell that to the marines. Nigerians voted. He should have allowed it to stand.
“ Abiola won in the barracks. He said soldiers wanted to stage a coup. Are the soldiers more than millions of Nigerians who voted? IBB ruined our country. “
Why we took decision to annul MKO’s victory
Babangida, in the interview in which he also spoke on various national issues,branded his justification for the annulment of the June 12,1993 presidential election as his “honest reason” for the action.
His words: “If it materialised, there would’ve been a coup d’etat — which could have been violent. That’s all I can confirm.
“It didn’t happen thanks to the engineering and the ‘maradonic’ way we handled you guys in the society. But that could’ve given room for more instability in the country.
“The military can do it because they have the weapons to do it, and others (civil society groups) can use agitation.”
He laid claims to “deft political moves” during his reign.
Such moves,he said,earned him the nickname ‘Maradona’ after the later Argentine footballer,Diego Maradona,who was renowned for his dribbling skills.
He said:“The definition of Maradona I got from the media is because of deft political moves. That’s the way the media described it.
“That’s the very good thing about the Nigerian media and Nigerian people, you have to anticipate them. If you anticipate them, then you live well with them. They call me ‘evil genius’, I marvel at that. The contradiction — you can’t be evil and then a genius.”
Babangida said his administration fought corruption better than the Buhari government is currently doing.
He cited the case of a military governor he claimed to have fired for alleged corruption involving about N300, 000 at that time.
He contrasted that with what he said now obtains when governors who stole billions of naira are walking free.
He said Nigeria’s military rulers are saints compared to civilians in terms of their handling of the nation’s wealth.
“You cannot compare what we did with what is on the ground now in terms of corruption. Corruption is more now. We are saints when compared to what is happening in the democratic era,” he said.
“When I was in leadership, I sacked a governor for misappropriating less than N313,000 but today, billions are being stolen and misappropriated, a lot of them are in court but still parade themselves in the streets. So tell me, who else is better at fighting corruption?”
My type of Nigeria’s next ruler
Babangida,an avowed supporter of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) said he has identified three persons who meet his criteria for Nigeria’s next President.
He said: “I have started visualising a good Nigerian leader. He should be a person who travels this country and has friends in every state of the country; a person who is very vast in the economy, a person who is a good politician who is ready to talk to Nigerians.
“I have seen about three already. The person should be in his 60s and I believe if we get such person, Nigeria will get it right.”
He said zoning is not particularly good for the country.
“We will have to make a choice either we want to practice democracy the way it should be practised or according to our whims and caprices,” he said.
“The way it should be done is to allow the process to be followed and allow anyone interested to throw his cap in regardless of where he comes from. Whether now or in the future, we will have to jettison the zoning system or power shift.”
Babangida who overthrew President Muhammadu Buhari in 1985 described their relationship as “still very good.”
“I am happy that we relate well.”
He accused the media of causing “the seeming rift between us.”
Nigeria’s unity non-negotiable
He expressed opposition to current agitation to balkanize the country by separatists.
He called for talks on how to strengthen the unity of the country.
He blamed the current agitations on “the tyranny of the elites.”
He added: “The politicians and elites are to be blamed.
“It is always good to agitate but because there is this belief that this country should be one. When they make the noise, they find that it won’t get supported, because Nigerians generally don’t believe in anything that would disturb their peace of mind. They won’t do it.”
”If you look back, if you take a place like Baga, in the north-east, the Igbo man, Yoruba man travelled up to Baga for trading, he lived very comfortably, he lived very well with the people around there.
“If you go to Lagos, the same thing, Yorubas, Igbos, who hold political appointments at local levels live very well with the people.
“I think we, the coming elites, did not succeed in imbibing that culture (culture of unity) for the country, so we rather live with the culture that the Europeans handed over to us — Northern Nigeria, Eastern Nigeria, Western Nigeria.
“There is a disconnect between leadership and followership. We don’t have core values anymore in the country which can be defended at any time. The way out is that leaders should understand Nigeria and Nigerians; use their intellect for the benefit of the people.
“There is too much control in the way the economy is now, there is a need to open it further, tap into the God-given talent of the people of the country.”
Remembering June 12, 23 years after By Oghene Omonisa
Tomorrow marks the 23rd anniversary of the historic presidential election held on Saturday, June 12, 1993. It was not only the first time a Southerner would win a presidential election, but it was an election widely adjudged to be the freest and fairest in Nigeria’s chequered political history. Its eventual annulment and the crises it sired all contributed to make the event historic.
Major players
Babangida
General Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida (IBB), the then military President was a key actor in the event. The June 12 election had its roots in Babangida’s transition to civil rule programme. Beginning with a promise to hand over power to a democratically elected government, Gen. Babangida had in 1987 announced a transition programme which was scheduled to begin in the third quarter of 1987. The timetable included local government elections on a zero-party basis, the lifting of the ban on politics and the registration of political parties as well as the inauguration of elected state governments and the inauguration of a new president in 1990. However, Babangida later shifted the hand-over date to 1993. In December 1987, the regime successfully organized the local government elections on a zero-party basis and in 1989, Babangida legalised the formation of political parties.
In pursuit of Babangida’s promise of making a clean break with the political past, the regime prohibited certain categories of former political office holders from contesting for elective office during the transition programme. These included persons who had held political offices at the federal or state levels in the civilian governments between 1960 and 1966, and 1979 and 1983, as well as former or serving state military governors or administrators, service chiefs in the armed forces and the police, including former military heads of state and the serving president. In justifying these measures in 1988, Babangida would tell his countrymen that “we have not chosen and have not sought to choose those who will succeed us. We have only decided on those who will not. We also have no vested interest in who succeeds our successors.” This would serve as his watchword throughout the transition period.
However, Babangida would later ban all the six registered political parties and formed two political parties: the left-of-center Social Democratic Party (SDP) and the right-of-center National Republican Convention (NRC), which represented popular political views and ideological sentiments of majority of Nigerians. And he would later unban the earlier banned categories of politicians.
The state and federal legislative elections duly took place in December 1991 and the newly elected officials were inaugurated on 2 January 1992, setting the stage for the last phase of the transition programme: the presidential election. But the presidential primaries of both parties were cancelled due to widespread allegations of irregularities. Babangida then dissolved all party structures in the country, and appointed caretaker committees to run the parties instead. He also disqualified all aspirants who had participated in the previous primaries from contesting any further elections during the transition programme.
IBB
After keenly contested presidential primaries, celebrated businessman and publisher, Chief Moshood Kashimawo Olawale Abiola (MKO) and little-known Kano-based businessman, Alhaji Bashir Othman Tofa emerged presidential candidates of SDP and NRC respectively. Then the final battle, the presidential election, was set for June 12, 1993.
Abiola
Highly loved and admired, Chief MKO Abiola had distinguished himself as a successful businessman who however had made much of his wealth through government patronage. Abiola had also indicated interest for the presidency in 1979 and 1983 under the defunct National Party of Nigeria (NPN). Very generous and flamboyant, Abiola donated to countless number of people and causes, and received numerous awards and chieftaincy titles within and outside Nigeria. Securing the presidential ticket of the SDP was a major step towards achieving his dream.
Yar’Adua
A political juggernaut, Gen. Shehu Musa Yar’Adua, who was the deputy to then Gen. Olusegun Obasanjo from 1976 to 1979, had gone into business after retirement, but emerged a political force during the Babangida transition period. Though among the categories of politicians banned, he was the brain behind the People’s Front of Nigeria (PFN), one of the six political parties Babangida registered and later banned. With the establishment of the two government-founded political parties, the PFN moved into the SDP, where the group won majority of the elective posts within SDP.
Following the unbanning of some categories of politicians, Yar’Adua indicated his interest in the presidential race, and he convincingly won the first round of the SDP primaries. However, his victory, like that of Alhaji Adamu Ciroma, was followed by protests by other aspirants, which led to the cancellation of the primaries in both parties, and the banning of all the aspirants from further participation in the presidential election.
Abacha
Gen. Sani Abacha is noted for not holding any non-military position before his emergence as the Head of State in November 1993. A die-hard loyalist of Babangida, Abacha played a major role in the success of Babangida’s coup as well as the failure of the 1990 coup attempt against Babangida. He was made the Chief of Army Staff and later became Minister of Defence at the time Babangida “stepped aside” in 1993. Not many Nigerians understood his role in the June 12 saga until much later.
Nzeribe
Maverick businessman and politician, Chief Arthur Francis Nzeribe was and has remained controversial. Very successful in business as in politics, he became a senator in the Second Republic and was one of the 23 presidential aspirants banned in 1992. Ironically, while he was vying to replace Babangida, he was also promoting the Association for Better Nigeria (ABN), whose primary objective was to keep Babangida in power for “four more years” because the political class was not ready for governance and that its members were corrupt. ABN’s activities largely enhanced the eventual annulment of the June 12 election.
Intrigues
Babangida’s sly and Machiavellian nature played a major role in the intrigues that came to characterise the June 12 saga. Obsessed with power, this Machiavellian nature therefore came to use in manipulating every opportunity to remain in power. The failure of many committed members of his government to understand this reluctance to relinquish power is attributable to his subterfuge, which made him successfully extend the termination date from 1990 to 1992 and later to 1993. For example, while Babangida openly dissociated his government from the activities of Nzeribe and his ABN, Nzeribe would later reveal that he met with Babangida regularly in Aso Rock.
However, to loyalists like Colonel Abubakar Umar, Babangida was anxious to leave office. Umar was often ready to prove his trust, recalling, among many, how happy he met Babangida in his office after the successful primaries of both parties in 1993. The media, dominated by the South-West also played into Babangida’s hands with the arguments that it was incongruous for the presidential candidates of both SDP and NRC to come from the North, considering the fractious nature of Nigerian politics, where ethnicity and regionalism play a vital role. A major national newspaper even wrote an editorial calling for the cancellation of both primaries based on these arguments, which gave Babangida the second and final extension.
Meanwhile, it was a known fact that if Yar’Adua had not been banned, Abiola would not have won the SDP ticket, especially with Yar’Adua’s well established structure in the party. Yar’Adua also realised early enough that after four years in power, Abiola would be too powerful to dethrone. Therefore denying Abiola the party ticket was a task that must be achieved. Alhaji Babagana Kingibe, first chairman of the party, and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar, both members of the PFN in SDP, were used to frustrate Abiola’s ambition. However, Abiola brought his business acumen to play, by not only deploying his enormous wealth to maximum use, but by allegedly sending his private jet to bring Yar’Adua’s ailing father from Kaduna to Jos, venue of the final stage of the primaries, to plead with his son.
Even with these manoeuvrings, the primary went to a second round as Abiola could not garner the required number of votes, only beating Kingibe with a slim margin. Atiku Abubakar needed to step down and declare his support for one of the two leading candidates, which would have made delegates who had voted for him to shift their loyalty to that candidate. But Atiku only announced that he was stepping down without openly declaring his support for either candidate. How Abiola still won has variously been described by political historians as the “Abiola magic”.
Carrying on with his activities, Nzeribe had gone to court with a petition that he claimed had the signatures of 25 million Nigerians who did not want the election to hold because they wanted General Babangida to continue as president for four more years.
Meanwhile, while the primaries were going on, Gen. Abacha was scheming, as was later revealed by many insiders, especially Col. Umar and Prof. Omo Omoruyi, former Director-General of the Centre for Democratic Studies, and a close confidant of Babangida. Abacha’s well-hidden ambition and loyalty made his moves unsuspicious. A successful transition would be the end of his ambition. He was therefore set to derail it. Nzeribe’s ABN activities were not only convenient for Babangida but for Abacha as well. Therefore, when the ABN secured a court order restraining the National Electoral Commission (NEC) from conducting the election, Abacha, with his loyalists within the government had insisted that the election should not to hold due to the court order. But Babangida reluctantly heeded the advice of Omoruyi and the election went ahead.
Abiola’s clear lead gave Abacha his weapon: the military did not want Abiola. Due to Babangida’s trust in Abacha, when the Abacha-orchestrated over-blown intelligence on Abiola, military revolts and coups reached him, he believed them, not knowing that the reticent and dark-goggled general had his scheme. Umar who had worked with Abacha to see an end to the June 12 impasse in the heat of the crisis, would later admit that one needed to possess the power of clairvoyance to have been able to judge Abacha otherwise because Abacha displayed so much patriotism that he did not arouse suspicion.
Election, annulment, aftermath
With intrigues unknown to majority of Nigerians going on within and outside the confines of Aso Rock, the June 12 presidential election was held, where Abiola defeated Tofa in what Ciroma, the leading aspirant in the botched NRC primaries would describe as “fairly and squarely”, as he not only defeated Tofa in Kano State but even in Tofa’s local government area. From the officially and unofficially announced results, it was analysed then that even if the elections were cancelled in any of the then four major regions, Abiola would still have won with votes from the remaining three regions.
However, while the results were being announced state by state, ABN, on June 15, returned to court with a petition to stop further announcements, which was granted by Justice Dahiru Saleh of an Abuja court. Justice Saleh would later declare the election null and void and of no effect whatsoever, on the ground that it had been conducted in violation of a restraining order. Finally, on June 23, the Federal Government announced the cancellation of the presidential election, suspended NEC, and repealed the law governing the final phase of the political transition programme. Banned politicians in the previous primaries were unbanned and legible to contest in a new presidential election.
Babangida clearly dribbled till he scored an “own goal”. He therefore had no more reason to stay back. He would, in a live broadcast, eventually provide reasons for the cancellation, that it was in the interest of law and order, political stability and peace as “the courts had become intimidated and subjected to the manipulation of the political process and vested interests.”
Babangida’s broadcast received world-wide condemnations, and led to riots, mostly in Abiola’s South-West Region. He would later “step aside” on August 26, a day earlier than his promised date, and named an Interim National Government (ING), headed by Chief Ernest Adekunle Shonekan, who was then Head of Transitional Council. However, Shonekan’s government lasted only 83 days when he was forced to resign by Abacha.
Victims, beneficiariesAbiola
Ironically, Chief Abiola, the presumed winner of the election remains the major victim of the annulment. On the first anniversary of the election in 1994, Abiola declared himself winner and announced a government of national unity. However, he was arrested and was on trial for treasonable felony until he died in detention five years later. Even some Federal Government contracts he had maintained for decades were terminated by Abacha.
Abacha
Although he was initially a beneficiary of the June 12 annulment, going by his scheming and eventual emergence as Head of State, he himself became a victim as he was consumed by the June 12 conflagration with his death.
Yar’Adua
Gen. Yar’Adua, who had quickly jumped at Babangida’s unbanning of banned politicians like himself, instantly jettisoned June 12 and embraced the ING, hoping to contest another presidential election. However, following the emergence of Abacha, who in 1994, organised his own National Constitutional Conference, Yar’Adua won a seat to represent Katsina State, where he was an outspoken delegate against military rule in continuation of his quest for the presidency by trying to constitutionally secure a brief stay for General Sani Abacha (rtd). He, alongside Gen. Obasanjo and others were however framed up for coup-plotting by Abacha, found guilty and sentenced by a military tribunal in 1995, to life imprisonment He later died in prison on December 8, 1997.
Obasanjo
Gen. Obasanjo had earned the disrespect of Abacha since the Babangida regime, and Abacha was well known to have considered his criticisms of that government as a product of pseudo-statesmanship. Following an interview in the early 1990s, in which Obasanjo had referred to Babangida’s government as a fraud, Abacha was alleged to have advised Babangida to arrest Obasanjo, an advice Babangida allegedly turned down. But when Abacha came to power and Obasanjo failed to realise that there was a different man at the helm of affairs, Abacha had to jail him on a trumped-up charge of coup-plotting to silence him. Obasanjo was believed to have been destined the way of Yar’Adua but for mysterious death of Abacha in 1998.
However, from a victim, Obasanjo ironically became a beneficiary of June 12 following his release from prison by Gen. Abdulsalami Abubakar, who succeeded Abacha. Abdulsalami with Babangida and other retired generals allegedly recruited Obasanjo for the presidential job. Obasanjo emerged the major beneficiary of the June 12 election annulment, because if there had not been annulment, there would not have been May 29, the date Obasanjo was sworn in, and which is today, Nigeria’s Democracy Day.
The basis for the annulment of June 12, by Omo Omoruyi
OMO OMORUYI’S ANTECEDENTS
I was involved in the three stages in the election process that produced what we call today ‘June 12’ Those of us who worked on the three stages never, never planned for its cancellation or annulment. For the reader, the three stages of an election process according to the standard text in election planning are the pre election day activities, the election day activities and the post-election day activities. In 1993, we passed the first and the second and the problem arose as we approached the third stage.
The cancellation or annulment, which occurred after the second stage was alien to the plan and so could not have been thought of at all. It is over simplification of a complex issue for Chief Obasanjo to say that the cancellation arose from bad belle. What is bad belle? May be he should have said the cancellation and annulment was caused by drug barons!
The military president also knew that the action taken then by the military, not by him as a personal decision, was not provided for in the decrees governing the transition programme. We must accept that Nigeria was under a military government. Did General Babangida stop the political class from fighting for what they believed in? This is critical to the issue of docility that would be addressed later in this piece.
PRONOUNCING JUNE 12 ELECTION FREE AND FAIR
One will recall that I was the only one in the government of General Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida that ever, at that time, pronounced, “the presidential election was free, fair and credible”. I still recall the interview I granted to my good friend Segun Adeniyi, who was then the Abuja reporter for African Concord. See African Concord June 26, 1993. This interview was granted on June 16, 1993, a week before the cancellation of the election that occurred on June 23. Thank you Segun for making me make that profound statement, that the June 12 presidential election was free, fair and credible. I still treasure that interview.
WHY IBB DID NOT INSIST ON A RETRACTION
To many people in government at that time, I should have been made by General Babangida to retract that statement. General Babangida knew me well that I speak from my heart. He knew that I came out of the university in 1989 to tell him the truth. He could not make me retract what he genuinely knew to be true. I still pay tribute to him for allowing me to be myself as a political scientist assisting him to promote democracy. This is why we are still friends. He knew that my statement was truthful and that that statement arose from what he asked me to do. One would recall that I granted that interview on June 16, 1993, few hours after the Chairman of NEC stopped displaying the election results on the board.
From the machinery developed at the Centre for Democratic Studies (CDS) under the auspices of the National Election Monitoring Group (NEMG), and, in strict application of the guideline governing the presidential election, which we called then the Modified Open Ballot System (MOBS), my office knew and had all the results including the winners and the losers as at June 15, 1993. Nigerians and the international community had all the results; the Presidency had all the results too. As at June 15, the winner of that election was known as Chief M.K.O.Abiola. What was left was for NEC to officially say so and for Chief Abiola to be sworn-in on August 27, 1993.
One would recall that displaying the results on the board or announcing the final result officially was not what the decree said any way as constituting the result from the Modified Open Ballot System (MOBS).
Omoruyi: Buhari should have no place in the Council of State meetings
The former President, Chief Obasanjo, belatedly, confessed, in the church, on June3, 2007 at Abeokuta, that his fellow Ogun/Egba indigene was prevented from being sworn-in as an elected president because of ‘bad belle’. This is hogwash; I said earlier that it was an over simplification of a complex issue that he too recognized at the Baptist Church in his sermon on June 20, 1998.
Applying the secret and open elements (MOBS) to the process was what would have saved the 2007 election. It should be noted that MOBS was part of the 2007 Electoral Act; it was only for decoration as the application was a different issue.
TWO BETRAYALS OF MKO BY OBASANJO
I was elated when Chief Obasanjo in 1998, after his release from Abacha gulag, publicly announced at Owu Baptist Church what God told him about June 12 while he was meditating in prison. I wrote two essays on this matter after 1999 when he was forgetting his prophesy after he became president.
Here is a man from the same place as Abiola; he openly rejected MKO that Chief Abiola was not the messiah Nigerians were waiting for. I was elated when he was publicly confessing after his release from the Abacha gulag that God spoke to him about June 12. When I read his sermon, my joy knew no bound. I said to myself in my lonely place in the US that the truth about June 12 and MKO would soon come to light. That he did not make do his prophesy through out his reign as President of Nigeria must have been one aspect of what the Anglican Bishop was referring to. Even in death, MKO Abiola was one case where Chief Obasanjo needs to seek God’s forgiveness.
(These essays can be accessed from the www titled: OBJ; Go Back to Your Sermon on Olumo Rock 1 and 2”).
Why Obasanjo did not refer to his prophecy after he became president was one of the greatest betrayals in Nigerian history.
The second betrayal was his decision to ignore the fact of June 12 and Chief MKO Abiola until after leaving office when he openly said in his church that only bad belle made some people deny MKO his mandate.
JUNE 12 WAS CRITICAL TO DEMOCRACY
What was critical about the Olumo Rock Sermon was the profound statement of Chief Obasanjo “that without the resolution of the events of June 12, 1993, we may not have a firm and solid foundation to erect the structure of democracy on a lasting basis”. He was right then; is he not still right today? The issues in the annulment are still with us today. One would have thought that the issues in the annulment would have been addressed by Chief Obasanjo as part of his political program as soon as God made it possible for him to be the man to succeed the military.
What is the contribution of Chief Abiola to democracy? From June 12, Nigerians and the world knew that he fought for the sanctity of the ballot box and died in its defense if we compare this with Chief Obasanjo’s contribution today, do we leave to history? But I can say from the election of April 2007 that Chief Obasanjo did not believe in multi-partism and paid lip service to the vote and voters as the basis of installing a government.
Chief Obasanjo merely declaring May 29 every year “Democracy Day” is histrionics and not history. It cannot promote democracy. He did not need any one to preach to him that Chief Abiola should have been immortalized. He would have been implementing the sermon he preached at Owu on June 20, 1998. That is why I wrote him a two-part essays that he should go back to his Sermon on Olumo Rock. He too should read the sermon today after leaving office. Fortunately these essays were published in some Nigeria newspapers. People read it and commended me for reminding him.
EARLY LIFE
My father was a school master who trained many people in Benin. My mother did not go to school but she appreciates the efficacy of education. I am blessed. School master I was, university teacher I was, a committed democrat I was, politician I was. I grew up as a good Christian. In fact, there are three names I ever had in life, one, Monday because I was born on a Monday. Secondly, my father gave a name called Christian, but I abandoned that name in the 50s and kept a name called Omorionwan.
That is the name I have today, very few people know that that is my name. Many people know Omo Omoruyi, they don’t know the meaning of Omo, it is Omorionwan which is adapted from Omonhionwan. This is my original name but it is always too long to call. And for you journalists, I leave it as Omo-Omoruyi. But officially I am Omonhionwan Omoruyi.
Why the abandonment of Christian name?
I did not think I should carry this European name. Besides, it was one day, my father and I were talking and he said God bless you, Ovbionwahionwan. I now said ‘Papa, I will keep that name’, that is, one’s child can never abandon one. But because it will be difficult for people to pronounce it, I decided to change it to Omorhionwan. And all my schools in America, it is Omorhionwan Omoruyi. And Omoruyi is the name of my mother. My grand father was Chief Obamoyi of Benin at Sakpoba Road .
Battling Cancer
I had cancer in 2008. I did not know I had cancer. I knew I was having the problem of walking. I just gave out my daughter in marriage in Benin in September 2007. And I managed to crawl out of Benin and went to Abuja . I went to the National Hospital, from January-February 2008, they kept giving me pain killers and finally I broke down.
Then, through the support of my lawyer, Barr. Omonuwa, they took me to the US, and flew me to Boston Medical Center. That day was a miracle day, it was a day God intervened in my favour. If I had stayed a day longer in Nigeria, I would have been dead. Life stopped from coming gradually, from my two legs up to my navel, no life. And then they rushed me to the theater, a neuro-surgeon opened me up and then they discovered what is called spinal cord compression which was gradually invading my spinal cord. And they discovered eight or nine cancerous tumor.
And further analysis discovered that the cancer had spread to my lungs, to my bone, you name it. They call it megastatic prostrate cancer. I had to undergo radiation, rehabilitation to bring about life back to my two legs. Today I give thanks to God. I am still alive today because of God.
By, May 31, this year, I became 74 years old. I spent it to further reflect on what God has done for me. How do I spend my time as a cancer survivor? I believe in the efficacy of prayers and God has been answering my prayers and sustaining me. God has also used several people to assist me: late President Yar’Adua, Gen.Danjuma and his wife, Governor Oshiomhole, former Governor Osunbor.
If Osunbor was given the ticket of the PDP, I would have had difficulty on who to support because Osunbor is a good man. Osunbor is a very good man but, unfortunately, the PDP does not appreciate any good thing. I told Osunbor that those people will not nominate you and it happened.
Fears of a cancer survivor
The fears are usually two: The fear of reoccurrence, it can come back. Nobody can tell you I am hundred per cent sure. When you say survivor it means abated. It is not that all the cancer cells are dead. It can give you more years too. The other fear is the fear of sudden death. To me, I no longer, as a Christian, have the fear of that. If it comes today, oh, God has been kind to me. One cannot achieve all he wants in life, but I have tried,
I have paid my dues in this country as a professor, as a partisan politician, as public policy man, as a promoter of democracy, therefore to begin to worry that I have not achieved enough is not normal. I am a contented man, I don’t need too much. I have four children, two boys and two girls, and I am satisfied with what they are doing in life. I am not afraid of death and have told people I don’t want state tribute. If you want to help me, give me today what to eat because I don’t want a flamboyant burial. Having gone for test two months ago, it has not come back and I can go about. I no longer use walking stick, I could eat and also sleep well. It is one thing which is difficult to tell people how one will survive, how one will end. I pray it does not come back but I thank God.
On Gen.Owoye Azazi’s statement on PDP and insurgency?
Azazi is the National Security Adviser and he was right on what he said. I am not sure he made a statement different from what he told the president. As NSA, he is the closest man to the President on matters of national security.
When I said he made a guided statement, he tried not to say too much out side and he must have said so much to his Oga. So any one who tries to persecute him does not know what he is talking about. He is a four-star General; so he is not a baby.
He was only trying to advise the PDP to put its home in order. What are we even talking about, is it not obvious that there is a group in PDP that does not want Jonathan? That group from the North even predicted that they were going to make governance uncomfortable for him if he wins the election.
Are we not seeing it now? Gen.Danjuma made a statement recently also talking about the same issue, about Nigeria being on fire.
And Danjuma does not speak too often, so when he says some things, go and weigh it very seriously. Another military man, Shuwa, in one of the papers, tried to challenge Gen.Danjuma. But let me tell you, Prof. Ango Abdulahi, former VC Ahmadu Bello University, in repeating what Ahmadu Bello said, in response to Chief Enahoro’s motion of 1953, that 1914 amalgamation was an error.
Whether you believe him or not, it is the amalgamation which says the North will continue to rule this country and that the South will continue to be follow-follow. That is the basis of the annulment of June 12. I have said it so many times, it is in my book, The Tale of June 12. Sir James Robertson even said it in his book that putting Nigeria together was an error. That they did not address the ethnic issue, and that ethnic issue made the North the permanent ruler and the South the permanent servant. And we call it a conjugal power structure.
And you don’t use one person one vote to reverse the conjugal power structure to make the husband the wife and vice versa. So what happened in June 12 was that the wife, by virtue of the votes, was now making Abiola the husband. But the Oga said no way, it can’t happen.
And I wrote a note to President Jonathan, I said, Sir, the reason Abiola could not be President in 1993 are the reason why they are objecting to you today.
The same reason why Azikiwe could not be Executive President, the same reason why Awolowo could not be, the same reason why Ekwueme could not be. But the same reason why OBJ could be because he is somebody they could use. If you are not a southerner they can use, then you are in trouble’. That is what Azazi was trying to explain that the zoning formula of the PDP clearly does not provide for the southerner to be a presidential candidate. He did not say any thing unusual. That is why I suggested a solution, the fundamental restructuring of Nigeria .
It is the answer to our problem. We should sit down and discuss. There are two problems we should resolve: one, how to live together, we have not resolve it.
How to govern Nigeria, we have not resolved it, it is in my book. So, to me, these are the two fundamental questions that should be resolved. Jonathan should not discard that problem, it is the fact. I love what EK Clark said recently too on the issue. If oil were discovered in Kaduna , if oil was discovered in Ibadan or Enugu, who owns the oil would not be an issue.
Since oil is now found in an area which was neglected in Nigeria, that is why everybody is talking the way they are talking today. This was why EK Clark talked about 13 per cent derivation. I am working on a draft on a paper I submitted to the South-South governors in 1999, what I call the politics of oil. I believe that we must address that question, who owns oil. If it were found in the North or Enugu or Ibadan, it would have been another story.
Jonathan and 2015
Why should that be an issue? The constitution provides for a second term for him if he wants. But it will be unfair for him to start talking about it now that they want to disorganize him. OBJ came to power on the same principle of one term based on the agreement he signed with the North. But he came for a second term. Nobody should disturb Jonathan in the interest of the nation. But those blowing bombs to destabilize Jonathan should know that others have the capacity to respond; so everybody should be careful.
Opinion: How CPC Wing of APC Has Been Scheming To Taken Control Of The Party Structure Ahead of 2023 JoeKing2028
President Muhammadu Buhari’s tenure in office ends in 2023. And the President has said that once he successfully hands over to his successor, he plans to retire to his hometown in Daura for a peaceful retirement.
But analysts have predicted that Buhari’s exit from power could expose a huge power vacuum in his party, the All Progressive Congress. This is so because age might not allow the President to be actively involved in party affairs once he is out of office. This reality is one of the main reasons why some powerful individuals within the party are already scheming to position them to take charge.
According to a media report in The Nation Newspapers, there are several tendencies struggling to take control of the party, but the real battle is between leaders of the former Action National Congress (ANC) and the defunct Congress for Progressives Change (CPC). The ACN wing is credited with providing the intellectual base that drove APC to power, while the CPC provided the huge voting numbers.
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The CPC group which has been laid back since the inception of the Buhari government is suddenly fighting to reposition itself within the party. They are doing this by ensuring that its members occupy top positions within the APC system.
This has sometimes resulted in major friction between both camps both at the national and state levels.
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In a bid to take over the party structure, the CPC induced the exit of Oshiomhole as party chairman and replaced him with Yobe State Governor, Mai Mala Buni. The group took its quest for relevance further by announcing the dissolution of all the EXCO in the state chapters and replaced them with officials loyal to their course.
In making its case, the CPC group insists that the ACN caucus has produced three APC Chairmen in succession (Chief Bisi Akande, Chief John Odigie-Oyegun and Oshiomhole), adding that it was not the turn of CPC to reign.
The CPC also believes that it is the strongest of the merger components because it has the backing of 12million strong Buhari supporters who are ever ready to support the party ones called upon.
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This power struggle within the party is why many people are worried that Bola Ahmed Tinubu may not have his wish of becoming the party’s flagbearer in the 2023 election. The opposition against him is huge because Buni and his group have practically taken over the running of the party and they are determined to ensure that the ACN wing does not have their way before or after the 2023 elections.
The question now is how will the ACN caucus take this? Only time will tell.
What do you think about the situation that APC has found itself in? Please let us know in the comment section below. Also like and share so that others can comment too.
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Oshiomhole To Keyamo: You Lack Discipline, Reaped Nothing For Supporting My Removal As APC Chairman. BY SAHARAREPORTERS
He wondered why Keyamo would post on social media what he captioned as a "private and confidential" legal opinion for the President who appointed him.
A former National Chairman of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Adams Oshiomhole, has accused the State Minister of Labour and Employment, Festus Keyamo, of spearheading his removal as the head of the party.
Oshiomhole was reacting to a statement by erstwhile National Publicity Secretary of the defunct New Peoples Democratic Party (nPDP), Chief Eze Chukwuemeka Eze, who alleged that Keyamo and others were plotting to restore him as the party chair.
Recall that some bigwigs and leading legal practitioners in the country, including the minister, had questioned the legitimacy of the Mai Buni-led caretaker committee of the APC over the recent judgment of the Supreme Court in the Ondo governorship election.
Keyamo, a Senior Advocate of Nigeria, had insisted that the judgment of the apex court was nuance and oblique, and warned the party to halt the planned congresses, disband the committee and reconstitute a fresh one.
Reacting in a statement signed by his senior media aide, Victor Oshioke, Oshiomhole described the minister as a betrayal, adding he “was in the political kitchen when the pot of crisis he is now offering advice on was being cooked.”
He wondered why Keyamo would post on social media what he captioned as a "private and confidential" legal opinion for the President who appointed him.
The former Edo governor said the action of the minister was reminiscent of the indiscipline from some senior leaders of the party which he sought to deal with decisively as national chairman.
He said, “In the said statement widely reported in the media, Chief Eze was quoted as saying that Mr. Festus Keyamo (SAN), Hon. Minister of State for Labour and Employment, and others were plotting to bring back Comrade Adams Oshiomhole as national chairman of the APC.
“Ordinarily we would have ignored this nonsensical suggestion. However, it is pertinent to set the records straight and put to rest this ridiculous falsehood being marketed by Eze Chukwuemeka Eze.
“Festus Keyamo was at the forefront and indeed provided legal support through his legal assistants who went to court and argued on behalf of those that filed cases for the removal of Oshiomhole as national chairman of the APC.
“Keyamo also offered legal advice on the legality of the NEC that was convened for the dissolution of the Oshiomhole-led National Working Committee of APC and emergence of the Governor Mai-Mala Buni led Caretaker Committee.
“It is, therefore, frivolous for any right-thinking person to assume that Mr. Keyamo, who actively supported the removal of the national chairman elected by over 6, 500 party delegates from across the 36 states and the FCT, would now plot to bring the same Oshiomhole back to the office.
“It is strange that a serving minister would share on social media platforms what he captioned as a "private and confidential" legal opinion for Mr. President who appointed him, especially considering that he was in the political kitchen when the pot of crisis he is now offering advice on was being cooked.
“The truth is that Mr. Keyamo seems to have lost out in the power play and failed to secure the benefits he anticipated in Oshiomhole’s removal from office with the consequent dissolution of the NWC and other structures of the party. This is the main reason for his self-serving new legal opinion which contradicts his earlier stance.
“For the avoidance of doubt, Comrade Adams Oshiomhole will not be part of any plot to destabilize or ridicule the party in any way or for any reason. He takes serious exemptions to his name being dragged into an issue that he has no hand in.”
Buni’s committee: As APC leaders wait on Buhari Tribune
•Why power blocs hold varied interpretations of Supreme Court judgment
As internal wrangling continues to polarise the ruling party, eliciting varied interpretations of the Supreme Court judgment from the party’s chieftains, stakeholders within the political sector of the country are suing for peace from
both sides of the divide ahead of the party’s national convention. IMOLEAYO OYEDEYI reports.
The ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) has been embroiled in internal wrangling since the ruling of the Supreme Court affirming the process that threw up Rotimi Akeredolu as the candidate of APC in the Ondo State governorship election. In the suit filed by the governorship candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Eyitayo Jegede, the validity of the process superintended over by Yobe State governor, Mai Mala Buni, was questioned by Jegede and his party, PDP. Their argument was that the process violated APC’s own law as Buni has no such constitutional power to sign the nomination form of his party’s candidate.
The Supreme Court ruling has since become subject of debate among the stakeholders as many of them weigh up the chances of their party in forthcoming elections and the implication of the judgment on its future activities. In other words, while some stakeholders are afraid that the recent apex court judgment will have serious implication for forthcoming national convention of the party and their scheming for 2023 elections, many others nurse no such fears, as they believe the party, going forward, needs more of internal cohesion than allowing division within its ranks.
While stakeholders like the Minister of State for Labour and Employment, Festus Keyamo and the Vice-President Yemi Osinbajo have warned the APC of imminent legal tussles in view of the Supreme Court rulings if Buni continues to call the shots as head of the interim committee, many other equally influential party leaders like Mamman Tahir and Niyi Akintola, both Senior Advocates of Nigeria (SAN), Deputy Senate president, Ovie omo-Agege (another lawyer) who have reassured that having Buni in the saddle has no legal implications and that all is well with the ruling party.
A Villa source said: “The VP is of the firm view that the Supreme Court ruling last week is a clear legal ditch which is best avoided. He wants to ensure that the interest of the party is what is paramount, hoping that all stakeholders would eventually find a way in the interest of Nigerians who have reposed so much confidence and support in the party.”
Osinbajo is not alone in the note of caution, as Keyamo is also of the opinion that the judgment is a time bomb should Buni be allowed to superintend over the congresses that will produce a new set of executives who choose the party’s candidates for various posts in 2023.
“The little technical point that saved Governor Akeredolu was that Jegede failed to join Buni in the suit. Jegede was challenging the competence of Governor Buni as a sitting governor to run the affairs of the APC as chairman of the Caretaker Committee.
“He contends that this is against Section 183 of the 1999 Constitution which states that a sitting governor shall not, during the period when he holds office, hold any other executive office or paid employment in any capacity whatsoever. In other words, had Buni been joined in the suit, the story may have been different today as we would have lost Ondo State to the PDP,” Mr Keyamo had said.
While it is equally noted that the wrangling is not unconnected with power control, these conflicting parties have been divided along the line of those seeking the reinstatement of the sacked NWC without the suspended former national chairman, Adams Oshiomhole and those who want Buni and other incumbent governors removed from the Caretaker/Extraordinary Convention Planning Committee (CECPC). While there are also some members who are calling for total dissolution of the CECPC, some other group believes that in the interest of the party, its affairs should remain as they are believing that unity in the party should be the primary interest of all members.
Ovie Omo-Agege had argued that there is nothing to fear over the apex court judgment. alluding that the controversy being generated over it was part of the struggle for power ahead of the 2023 elections.
According to him, “Mischief makers for obviously nefarious intentions, resort to misinterpret the said judgment vis-a-vis the purport of Section 183 of the 1999 Constitution (as amended), as it affects the APC congresses scheduled for Saturday, July 31, 2021,” he said, arguing that the above stated section of the constitution “only bars a governor from holding executive positions like being a minister, or any other executive positions for which he shall be paid for.»
“It does not by any scintilla of imagination render the appointment of Governor Buni as APC caretaker committee chairman incompetent and will not in any way, affect the legality or competence of the APC scheduled congresses,” Omo-Agege stated.
The court, he stated further, did not consider the issue of the provision of Section 183 of the 1999 Constitution; neither did the majority decision make any comments on the competence of Buni as the chairman of the caretaker committee.
“The appeal was dismissed on the grounds of competence or lack thereof for the non-joinder of a necessary party to the suit at the lower court. Even if the apex court had considered the provisions of Section 183 of the 1999 Constitution, the majority panel would still have dismissed the appeal,” Omo-Agege argued, saying that Buni’s position is not different from that of Kayode Fayemi, Ekiti State governor, who is the chairman of the Nigeria Governors’ Forum. “Can it be said that a state governor who is the chairman of the governors’ forum of Nigeria is occupying an “executive office”? Can it also be argued that the president cannot be appointed as the chairman of the Africa Union?
“There is no law under our legal jurisprudence that bars or prohibits a governor who is a member of a political party and won elections under the political party from carrying out specific assignments on behalf of his party. How this will amount to holding an executive office is beyond every stretch of human comprehension,” he argued.
Throwing their weights in support of Buni, governors elected on the banner of APC said there was nothing to fear about the Supreme Court judgment but rather it had validated the party’s national caretaker committee. Chairman of the Progressive Governors’ Forum (PGF) and Kebbi State Governor Abubakar Atiku Bagudu, in a statement in Abuja, said a lot of the analyses and interpretations of the judgment were made out of mischief. The judgment, he said, had dealt conclusively with legality of the Buni committee, its composition and all its decisions, particularly when the judgment clearly states: «That sponsorship of a candidate in an election is that of the party and not the individual Officer of the party forwarding the name of the candidate.
“That the National Executive Committee (NEC) of the party is empowered to create, elect and appoint Committees (including the instant CECPC) or any other committee it may deem necessary to act in any capacity.”
The PGF had consequently blamed the rumous on elements bent on causing disaffection in the party and thereafter suing for peace and internal cohesion. In the statement, the APC governors further maintained that the judgment is a vote of confidence in the Buni led caretaker committee.
“The Supreme Court upheld further the ruling of the Court of Appeal that ‘it is evident that the said Governor Mai Mala Buni was appointed only in an acting capacity temporarily to temporarily carry out and fill in the seat of the National Chairman of the party pending the elections of new members’. The holding of the Court of Appeal was not appealed against by the appellants, that is, Eyitayo Jegede (SAN), gubernatorial candidate of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in the last election in Ondo State and the PDP. According to the Supreme Court, ‘by not appealing against this holding, the parties herein accept it as correct, conclusive and binding upon them.”
On the way forward, particularly on the issue of the contentious ward congress, CECPC Secretary, Senator James Akpanudoedehe, maintained that there was no going back as the conduct of the recent congresses of the APC remains valid.
The foregoing notwithstanding, there are those calling for caution and warning that the party stands a great risk of frittering its fortunes away in the all-important 2023 elections should the internal conflicts persist urging all gladiators to toe the path of peace in the interest of the party.
From developments in the party as of Friday night, the call for caution seems to have prevailed as an air of uncertainty hangs over the party’s local government congress slated for Saturday, August 14. As of Friday night, the committee for the congress had not been constituted. Also the results of the ward congress, which will form the foundation for the local government congress, are yet to be released. The party’s leadership only on Thursday constituted appeal committees to entertain complaints arising from the ward congress.
The pervading feeling among a section of the party’s hierarchy is that those pushing for Buni’s removal are doing so purely to satisfy their political interests ahead of the 2023 poll.
The Buni-led Committee is believed to have recorded significant milestones in its membership drive, amendment of the party’s constitution, which is now awaiting the approval of the national convention and reconciliation of members, among others.
All eyes are now on the leader of the party, President Muhammadu Buhari, who is seeking medical rest in the United Kingdom. Sunday Tribune gathered that a number of the chieftains of the party, from both sides of the divide, have since literally relocated to London make their cases to the president.
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Revealed: How Saliu Mustapha May Upstage Akume, Shettima, Modu Sheriff Others To Emerge APC National Chairman. By Ireporteronline
The Crystal Ball is becoming clearer as APC places itself strategically to retain the presidency post-2023, the possible choices to steer the leadership of the party are gradually evolving as party stakeholders position themselves to take ample advantage of the ongoing national congress to stamp their leadership roles.
All eyes probably seem fixated on the National Chairmanship position of the party and from the look of things it is going to be a tough battle between major gladiators.
Faced with a historically diverse set of choices, many party members have expressed a pragmatic desire for a National Chairman who would have the best chances of retaining the presidency in 2023 and giving the party a nationwide stake in the 36 states across the Federation.
Already major APC henchmen have thrown their hats in the ring in preparation for an epic battle. As at the last check, the following Political juggernauts in APC have all shown interest in the National Chairmanship position which seems to have been unofficially zoned to the North.
Former governors Ali Modu Sherriff, Abdulaziz Yari, Tanko Al-makura, George Akume, Senator Kashim Ibrahim Shettima are squarely in the race. Intriguing enough there is a new formidable contestant who seems certain to upstage these heavily known personalities.
Alhaji Saliu Mustapha the Turaki of Ilorin seems to be the anointed bride if feelers reaching our news desk is affirmative.
Moderate members of the APC have a duty to consider Alhaji Saliu Mustapha. He has a clear path to beating these former governors. According to them, the party needs new and creative ideas and therefore should do away with the old recycled faces in other to retain the trust of the electorates.
Who Is Saliu Mustapha? What is his secret weapon against all these ex-Governors? We’ve got it all covered:
He was the Deputy National Chairman of the then Congress for Progressive Change, one of the defunct political parties that merged to give birth to form the present A.P.C Party.
Mustapha was born on September 25, 1972 in Ilorin, Kwara state.
Mustapha has had a robust political career that has spanned over 2 decades, he was the first National Publicity Secretary of the Progressive Action Congress (PAC) and he later joined the ANPP in 2007 where he worked assiduously for the presidential ambition of Muhammadu Buhari. In 2009 he teamed up with Buhari to form the Congress for Progressive Change and became the Deputy National Chairman of the party. He held this position until the party merged and formed the All Progressives Congress (APC) and he was the one that signed the final agreement that culminated in the formation of the APC on behalf of the CPC.
Voter Base:
Mustapha’s popularity is widespread among a variety of different voting groups. Some of his biggest supporters come from the youth bloc, progressives and women wing of the APC.
Odds For Saliu Mustapha To Be The APC National Chairman:
Even though Saliu Mustapha’s quest to be the Kwara State Governor in 2019 did not sail through even after being endorsed by the people of the State he still played a major role as a bonafide stakeholder in the party by being the highest financial contributor for the success of the APC in the 2019 elections.
Saliu Mustapha remains a favourite to emerge the party’s national chairman because of his loyalty to the party and his tenacity to take the party to greater heights.
Key issues:
Rebuilding the party ideologically and creating a platform with unlimited creativity.
Growing Concern of Power Shift:
Currently, the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) bloc in APC is angling to produce the next national chairman. They argue that after both the All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) and the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) have had their slots, it was their lot to produce the next national chairman.
Secret weapon:
Comfortability. Like an old pair of jeans, Saliu Mustapha is known for his reliability and teamwork. unthreatening quantity, that could be the ticket to victory.
Saliu Mustapha has a core group of supporters who have stuck with him through thick and thin. They despaired when he lost in 2018, and have been planning his political revival ever since. Now their time has come.
Saliu Mustapha’s Running Policies:
Mustapha is positioning the APC on the ideology it was founded upon by the founding fathers.
In his words ” “The ideas that drove the founding fathers to establish the APC were not new to me and that my membership of the party was not by accident.
Being a member of the APC has to do with ideological conviction and that I have always been a member of political parties not seen as ‘conservative.’”
Odds For Mustapha Emerging as APC National Chairman:
His well-articulated vision for the progress of the APC has a significant impact on the odds of his emerging the APC National Chairman, his representation of the youths is well received by the majority of party members and has aided his ranking by the oddsmakers.
Osigwe Omo-Ikirodah writes in from Abuja.
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