By: Abba Mahmood
President Goodluck Jonathan has come
a long way since he left his village, Otuoke, in Bayelsa State to the
presidential villa in Abuja. He was jointly elected with the late Umaru
Yar’Adua in 2007. He was elected for a second term in 2011. Some of his
supporters are insisting he should contest again in 2015 which, in reality, means
they want him to go for a third term, something that is alien to the
constitution. He was almost certain to continue residing in the villa until he
got Bamanga Tukur as national chairman of the ruling Peoples Democratic Party.
With the way Tukur has been handling the affairs of the party, it is becoming
increasingly obvious that Dr Jonathan is leaving the villa for his village.
The PDP’s special convention
of August 31, 2013, marked the beginning of the end of the PDP as a credible
platform. On that day, some governors of the party and other influential
members walked out of the convention venue and announced the formation of a
faction, the G7 or new PDP. Instead of the party leadership to endeavour to
address their grievances, they were threatened with suspension and even
expulsion by the party. Collectively and individually, the G7 are leaders in
their own right. What the party leadership did was not how to keep the
president in the villa but to send him to the village.
The Court of Appeal gave a
ruling that the authentic national secretary of the PDP is Prince Olagunsoye
Oyinlola, who incidentally belongs to the G7 faction of the party. The party
leadership not only refused to reinstate Oyinlola to his position but even
suspended him from the party. That act showed that the PDP is now above the
law. It also gave the G7 higher moral ground since what they said with regard
to fighting impunity is now proven beyond doubt. This is a very good way of
sending Jonathan out of the villa to the village.
The G7 governors came to the
Kano Governor’s Lodge in Abuja for a meeting. A police DPO led a detachment of
Nigeria Police personnel to the venue of the meeting and told the governors
that he was asked to come and stop their meeting! Not only governors, even ordinary
citizens have the constitutional right to assemble, associate and speak. Among
these governors is a retired admiral who, by age and official rank, is the
father of that DPO. This embarrassing act is a sure way of making the people
vote the president out of the villa to the village.
Soon after that, the minister
of Abuja threatened to demolish properties owned by some members of the G7
faction. The Economic of Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) started arresting
officials of some of the state governments of the G7 as well as two sons of
Governor Sule Lamido of Jigawa. EFCC even arrested some bankers who keep the
accounts of some of these states. It is very clear that a pharaoh-nic order is
being brought to Nigeria. Is this going to help the president remain in the
villa or send him to the village?
The actual genesis of the PDP
crisis is the act of reckless abuse of power by the national chairman, Bamanga
Tukur. Nyako of Adamawa had the entire structure of the party taken away from
him. Amaechi of Rivers had the PDP structure taken away from him. Then
Kwankwaso of Kano had the PDP structure taken away from him. If the president
is naked without the party structure, how can the governors remain quiet when
their states’ party structures have been taken away from them? That is why
these three governors in particular are in the forefront of moving to the All
Progressives Congress (APC), which is a sure way to vote out the PDP from the
villa to the village.
With an approaching election
year President Jonathan does not seem to know that he needs these governors
more than Bamanga Tukur. Those advising the president do not seem to take into
consideration the consequences of a ruling party losing Kano, Lagos and Rivers
to another party. These states, which are now APC, not only have the highest
number of registered voters but are the main economic centres of the country.
If this is not a game-changing event, I don’t know what else is. For the
PDP, the journey has begun out of the villa to the village.
Another consequence of this
political shocker is that the PDP is set to lose its majority in the National
Assembly as most members of the new PDP move to the APC. This will be a very
good political development as it may lead to proper checks and balances. The
excesses of the executive arm will now be checked by the legislature. The
unconstitutional acts will not go unpunished. The impunity and disregard for
due process that characterise the era of the cult-like control of the National
Assembly by the PDP will come to an end. The journey has indeed begun for the
PDP to move out of the villa to the village.
President Jonathan came to
power with enormous goodwill. That goodwill has been squandered. He inherited a
lot of problems. None of these problems has been solved; instead, they are even
getting compounded. The party leadership that saw his victory is left in the
cold. The governors that nominated him and made sure he got elected are being
driven out of the party, if not their offices. Except for a few self-appointed
ethnic champions, there is no real national leader that is close to the
president anymore. Are these not signs that he is hastening to go out of the
villa to the village?
The militants can’t make him
get elected. Their threats and insults on others are only making the president
more unpopular. Balance of terror is only possible when terrorists are allowed
to terrorize people. Instead of making reasonable people convince the
electorate to continue to support the president, mad people are unleashed on
the innocent public who keep shouting and threatening the whole country. And
one keeps wondering: are these people interested in remaining in the villa or
going back to the village?
Bamanga Tukur cannot help the
president either. Since assuming office as chairman of the PDP, he has
destroyed the party. There is no organisation and there is no cohesion in the
party anymore. Directly and indirectly, Tukur has sent away seven governors who
are either in, or heading for, the APC. Even Bola Tinubu brought six ACN governors
to the party. Thus, Tukur is the greatest benefactor of the main party in
Nigeria now, the APC. For good, the PDP is leaving the villa for the village.
But by far the greatest threat
to President Jonathan today is corruption. The economy is collapsing due to
corruption. Elections are not properly conducted due to corruption. Budgets are
not implemented due to corruption. Armed robbery, kidnapping and insurgency are
all attributable to corruption. There is no single institution that has not
been tainted by corruption. Corruption is sending the PDP from the villa to the
village.
Shehu Shagari launched the
ethical revolution. Buhari launched the War Against Indiscipline. Obasanjo set
up the anti-corruption agencies, ICPC and EFCC, and fought corruption vigorously.
This government is not even pretending to fight the cankerworm that is
destroying the country. Like an old rag, they don’t know where to start.
President Jonathan came to power on a national platform. Now he is being sold
as an ethnic and regional commodity. No wonder he is a failure. Corruption and
sectionalism are sending them out of the villa to the village. History is on
the side of the oppressed.
Leadership
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