*Explains how Lagos used data for good governance
Africa Rising – That is the headline of (last week’s) cover of Time
Magazine. It is for me an appropriate place to start my discussion on
the theme “Governance, Security and Peace in Africa”; and, if I might
say so at the onset, it is a somewhat misleading if not patronizing
headline.
I say this because students of world history will know that the story
of our planet is one of the rise and fall of civilisations and empires.
Civilisations and empires have thrived and floundered on the basis of
the challenges of their time, when they peak or fall; and what men or
women do or fail to do.
And I propose to discuss this in some fuller detail as I deal with
the subject of institutions. But I must emphasize that Greece, which is
one of Europe’s poorest and highly indebted nations today, was once at
the zenith of human civilisation.
The heart of the Roman Empire, which gave the world one of its most
enduring legacies of law, was situated in what is modern day Italy and
is currently a struggling economy.
But we have not heard the last of Italy or Greece. In the way that
Germany rose from the ruins of two World Wars to become Europe’s super
power house today, we have seen the renaissance of a Ming Dynasty that
took almost 5,000 years to re-discover herself in the renaissance of
China.
Africa’s Renaissance
So contrary to a rising Africa, I see the renaissance of a region that
once boasted the amazing engineering feats of the Egyptian pyramids when
there were no super cranes and a place where Timbuktu, in modern day
Mali, was once the place to be for science, mathematics and learning.
Africa is not rising; it is experiencing a renaissance again. The
sustainability will be determined by what men and women do or fail to
do.
This is the platform from which I propose to address my sub-theme of
“Regime Change, Ethno-Religious Insurgency and State-craft in the 21st
Century with my focus on West Africa.
Let me start by submitting that I have read enough history and seen a
lot of conflict in almost five decades on earth to come to the clear
conclusion, that all conflicts are fuelled by the desire for dominance,
territorial control, economic benefit for self or allies.
I am convinced that in whatever garment these conflicts are dressed,
whether ethnic or religious, those cloaks are only designed to whip up a
sense of identity and support towards a cause they often may not
understand.
Abundance of Human and Natural Resources in West Africa
West Africa, as the name suggests, is a sub region of Africa that has 16
(Sixteen) countries who are independent nations, collectively they have
a population of approximately 300,000,000 (Three Hundred Million)
people whose lands are blessed with all types of natural resources such
as oil, gas, coffee, cocoa, timber, gold, to mention a few and access to
water especially the Atlantic Ocean.
It is important to mention this so that there is clarity about
abundance of human and natural resources. Some of the oldest and
foremost learning institutions such as the Fourah Bay College and the
many learning centres such as in Old Timbuktu are located in this
region.
In the last few decades, they formed an economic block, the Economic
Community of West African States (ECOWAS) for short, almost like the
European Union to deepen economic trade.
The Tragedy of West Africa
But ironically, this region has, until recently, made global headlines
for the wrong reasons. Apart from hunger and poverty experienced by a
people so blessed; and I am not happy to say this, peacekeeping
operations have consumed several millions of dollars as perhaps the only
successes that can come out of a region of such vast resources.
These are peacekeeping missions to end the mindless slaughter of
innocent men, women and children who have been victims of mindless
orgies of violence in the pursuit of crass and brazen ambition under the
guise of attempted governance.
Sierra Leone and Liberia once very free, peaceful and historic
settlements for their roles in the end of the Trans-Atlantic slave trade
and the redevelopment of the African human capital through education,
have lost their innocence forever.
While the healing process and rebuilding continues at a pace that
encourages hope, there are scars that will never go away. My own country
Nigeria faced a bloody civil war about which I will say a word or two,
Ivory Coast was not spared; neither was Ghana, in the mindless toppling
of regime after regime in the 1980s and several execution of leaders and
the displacement of millions of citizens who became refugees outside
their homeland. Yes, many Ghanian professionals became shoemakers,
drivers, odd job men and women in my own country when I was a teenager
because their country failed them. All these are now in the past.
The old Gold Coast of Africa is back. The Ashanti Dynasty is not
rising. It is experiencing a renaissance. What lies at the heart of all
these conflicts for me is a difficult question; and from here I have to
be careful what I say so that I am not misunderstood. Before the
colonization of Africa in the late 19th Century, many of these nations
were several kingdoms with kings and emperors. We must remember that
succession was by conquest and it is possible to rationalize what we
have today on that basis.
The Hope Democracy Brings
Democracy has survived many ages. The Agrarian Age, the Industrial Age
and it has merged with other philosophies like capitalism and moved into
the age of information technology and now globalization.
It faces perhaps its biggest threat yet by the effects of technology
and globalization which both test the limits of freedom. The success or
otherwise of this model of governance has been the Achilles heel of the
political stability of West Africa.
It is possible to argue that the African concept of communal
existence, sharing and conciliation were shaken to their foundations by
the winner-takes-all that elections produce in a democratic setting.
While I may be wrong, and I hope that I am, it is a study that I hope
will be undertaken.
Those who are products of ancestors who ruled as kings and emperors
may seem somewhat perplexed that they cannot share the Court of a
successful winner after an election; and must therefore accept the
economically unrewarding role of opposition, at least until the next
elections are called.
Really and truly, all human endeavor and conflict about a better
life, but the irony is that the concept of a better life is itself
amorphous and difficult to define.
One might wonder for example why the people of the Western economies
with all their infrastructure and progress, which are many miles ahead
of what you will find in many parts of Africa, are still agitating for a
better life.
Happily for me, I am able to say that inspite of the difficulties,
many parts of West Africa are democratizing and, with that, political
stability is emerging and we are seeing development. Sierra Leone just
conducted peaceful elections for the second time after many years of
conflict.
The evidence of political stability stares every person in face as
one witnesses the block by block rebuilding of a once peaceful country
whose infrastructure was ravaged by conflict induced by regime change.
The question therefore is this:- In the light of the progress being
witnessed in many parts of democratizing West Africa, is democracy the
answer or the missing link to unlocking the vast opportunities in West
Africa.
Yes, democracy will, on the basis of the available evidence of what
has been done under it, be critical to achieving the goal. On its own,
it will not suffice to solve the problem.

Gov Fashola
The Creeping Danger of Fundamentalism
Inspite of democratic structures in Mali, and with only a few months to
general elections, a few people still ganged up to seize power, with an
official statement that they wanted to change things. The question on
everyone’s lips was: why not wait for the general elections that were so
close; to effect the change by the ballot?
The answer may be long in coming.
In some parts of West Africa, political change, and possibly the
quest for a better life, has acquired a new image. It is now anchored on
Islam, by the group now classified as the Al-Qaeda in the Maghreb.
As we speak, the West African nations are contributing troops to go
into Mali in a coalition to dislodge them because of the political
danger they pose to the entire region.
But beyond guns and live ammunition, their pursuit for power is fired
by a stronger ammunition, one which does not attack the body but
instead strikes the mind. Religion.
This will be difficult to defend against or to attack.
Its range is limitless, its fuel supply is not science; on the
contrary, it is passion driven by unquestioning faith. That fuel rarely
runs out of supply and it does not tolerate reason but commands only
unquestioning faith and belief. This is the newest and biggest threat
and it is on both sides of the 2 (two) popular religions, Christianity
and Islam, both of which incidentally and interestingly owe their
origins to the same region, the Middle East.
Perhaps the closest in history to what we experience today are the
ecclesiastical wars in advent of Christianity. It is against the
background of these complexities that I intend to examine the role of
statecraft in the 21st Century.
The Role of Statecraft
For my definition of ‘statecraft’, I choose “the art of conducting the affairs of state or conducting government affairs”.
I think it is fair to say that, at whatever level one is involved, it
is not an easy affair. Whether you are a President, Prime Minister,
State Governor, City Mayor or whatever designation you operate at, the
problems are the same.
It is about humanity. Protecting people, securing your environment,
saving lives and providing economic opportunities which, in simple
words, mean jobs, providing education, healthcare, protecting rights and
so on and so forth. What differs is the complexity of the same problem,
from place to place, depending on the level of development or lack of
it.
The accepted global model for conducting these affairs, which is
democracy, has been tested, but is now, in my view, technologically
challenged.
By this I mean that with globalization, many more people are involved
in the process and they influence decision making for good or bad.
What newspapers could by editorial decision delay or refuse to
publish while a decision of Government is under consideration is now
instantly available on the social media without any consideration for
its possible adverse or beneficial effect. Very recently, I told my
colleagues that this is not a good time to be a leader, although I have
always asked myself if there was ever a time in human history that it
was good to lead.
That is why I salute the leaders of many centuries past, especially
those of the early 20th Century who led our world through many
technological breakthroughs such as electricity, the telephone, the
airplane and protected our planet amidst the threat of two world wars.
I draw a lot of inspiration from their courage and refusal to give up.
This is the least that is expected of every leader today in any part of the world if we are to save this planet from peril.
This is the challenge of statecraft.
Regrettably, democracy does not concern itself about this. It is only
concerned about the emergence of the leader by popular mandate in an
open process.
Democracy does not guarantee that the leader will be competent as we
have seen in some jurisdictions. It makes no guarantee that he will be
compassionate or God-fearing or that he will be passionate about the
job.
In a technologically-driven world, where the primary objective of
statecraft centres around the human civilization, data possession,
processing, understanding and management are a sine qua non to
successful statecraft in the 21st Century.
In the last five and a half years that I have spent in office, I have
paid unrelenting attention to data. The importance coincides with the
cliché that you cannot manage a thing, if you cannot measure it. A few
quick examples will suffice to demonstrate the point.
Security
On assumption of office in 2007, the first inquiry I made was about the
number of Policemen in the State that was available to help me protect
the 17,552,000 people that our 2006 headcount showed that we had living
in Lagos.
Over the years, data management has become invaluable in our crime
prevention strategy and has made our state easily the safest in the
Country.
We are able to monitor trends by analysing reports at monthly
security meetings which I chair and, by so doing, we deploy the
necessary logistics, either of more men, more patrol vehicles, more
boats, more communication equipment or extra hours or a combination of
any of them as the crime data reports suggest.
Revenue
In order to raise money to fund our obligations, I sought to know how
many properties we had registered on our data base and found out that we
had registered only 26,000 (Twenty Six Thousand). We invested in the
property enumeration exercise and today we have registered 640,000 (Six
Hundred Forty Thousand) and still counting. Of course I need not say
that receipts from Property taxes jumped in many folds.
I also sought to know how many citizens were issued with tax cards as
proof of payment of personal income tax, and I was told it was only
500,000 (Five Hundred Thousand).
We embarked on massive tax awareness campaigns and invested in
printing and issuance of tax cards and today we have 2,530,744 (Two
Million, Five Hundred and Thirty Thousand, Seven Hundred and Forty Four)
tax payers on our data base.
This accounts in part for why we are the only state that may survive
without oil proceeds, because about 70% of our annual expenditure comes
from internally generated funds
We also conducted a registration of existing businesses in the State
and our version of the Lagos Yellow pages, a directory of small
businesses, shows that we have 158,720 (One Hundred and Fifty Eight
Thousand, Seven Hundred and Twenty) businesses in our State as at 2011
with significant increases expected in 2012.
Traffic Management
When we resolved to clean up Oshodi, a very congested part of Lagos that
prevented access and thoroughfare through Agege Motor Road because
street traders had taken over the road, our first task was to enumerate
the number of street traders in order to plan their re-settlement. Their
new market is now finished and awaiting hand over.
Subsequent to the clean-up, our monitoring and data collection
revealed that it was a well-considered effort and money wisely spent
because:-
Speed survey shows that the average speed within the vicinity (Agege
Motor Road) had increased by 300% from 10km/hr measured while developing
the Strategic Transport Master Plan in 2008 to an average of 40km/hr in
spite of increased traffic flow arising from traffic diverting (to
Agege Motor Road) from Ikorodu Road and Apapa-Oworonsoki expressway. The
fact that vehicles now have effective use of 2 clear traffic lanes is a
contributory factor to this development.
Travel condition has also improved along Ikorodu Road where traffic
volumes have reduced by 4% as Agege Motor Road now serves as an
effective alternative for north to south movements in Mainland Lagos.
Traffic speeds have consequently increased by 10%. Overall, our data
analysis showed that the Oshodi clean- up measures will lead to travel
time savings of 252 million hours, equivalent to 112,500 man-years
savings leading to productivity gains in the Lagos Economy.
Indeed the traffic improvements translate to an annual benefit
within the Oshodi vicinity of around N10b. The wider benefit to the
Lagos Economy is far bigger and could reach N120 billion. As a result
of the increase in travel speed from an average of 10km/hr to 40km/hr,
the amount of carbon emitted by vehicles has reduced by 48% to 76g/km.
The noise level has also decreased from 73.73 dBA recorded in 2008 to
an average of 65 dBA.
This is a reduction of 12% in noise pollution. The cost of developing other measures such as building a 1km bridge
to by-pass the troubled area of Oshodi and to achieve the result
currently being experienced now in Oshodi will cost the Government N16.6
billion as opposed to under N300 million spent on relocating the
traders and mobilizing enforcement to ensure the area remains clear.
This leaves a surplus of just over N16.3 billion for more pressing
infrastructure needs of the State. Since August 2012 when we introduced
a new traffic law to increase safety and reduce road traffic accidents,
I was recently able to report to citizens the results of our monitoring
of the impact of the implementation of the law as follows:
From the 25 General hospitals, the reports of accidents from
motorcycles dropped from 646 to 525 cases in September; an 18.73%
reduction, while deaths recorded between the same period dropped from 14
to 8, a 42.86% reduction. In terms of the impact of the law and our
advocacy on healthcare, our recent monitoring and evaluation assessment
report reveals that:-
a. 65% of people sampled after the law want to reduce alcohol intake
as against 30% before; b. 93% now want to reduce drugs as against 71%
before the law; c. 77% are now convinced that alcohol is a danger to
them and their passengers if they drink and drive, as against 10% before
the law; and only 4% now say they can still able to purchase alcohol
within the motor park after the law, as against 58% before the law.
Budget
Similarly, we have taken data and budget statistics very seriously as
our critical tool for planning and service delivery. We hold quarterly
budget sessions year on year, we monitor performance vigorously and we
have never performed below 70% of our budget commitments even though
this is below our target of 90%.
Education
Data has proved quite useful in education management, just as in other
sectors. Although we started an emergency school repair and construction
programme, data collection has helped us identify areas of more
classroom needs and this has helped us allocate resources more
judiciously. It has helped us to remain focused on the long gestation
that education renaissance requires because we are seeing consistent
upward results in the performance of students in their final
examinations as a result of our many initiatives.
For example, the final West Africa Examinations Council secondary
school leaving results showed that 7% of students passed with 5 credits
in one sitting with English and Mathematics in 2007. The result went up
to 11% in 2008, 18% in 2009, 21% in 2010, and dropped to 19% in 2011.
Our detail analysis of data of students performances at monthly
education meetings that l inaugurated in 2011, and which I chair,
resulted in the deployment of a cocktail of solutions, such as younger
teachers, review of class promotion grades, involvement of parents,
injection of funds and extra lessons. Perhaps at this point it will be
remiss of me and dangerously ominous not to take a position about the
still raging controversy back home, at least by the accounts in the
local papers as of last weekend.
On THERE WAS A COUNTRY
My host, Professor Chinua Achebe, had chosen to document his account of
an indelible personal experience in a new book titled, “There was a
country – a personal history of Biafra”. It received and continues to
receive mixed and in some cases hostile reception. In fact, some
commentators suggested that the work had contributed to restoring old
tensions and brewing new hostilities, prefacing possible inter-ethnic
conflict.
Wherever your personal view may lie, we cannot but observe, from the
tone of the commentary, that our national governments continue to fail
us in the crucial duty of being repositories of information, data,
records and archives as historical records are indispensable tools for
policy development.
Certainly, the discourse would have been richer, less acrimonious and
not predestined for tension if institutional national archiving and
information disclosure was responsibly discharged by the Federal
Government of Nigeria.
I am sure there are other examples across the West African
sub-region. States must begin to see the connection between information
management and inter-religious, ethnic and sectional tension across
Africa.
That publication has put me in some difficult straits and I will explain.
I speak here today not in person but by virtue of my office as Governor of Lagos State.
The invitation from Professor Chinua Achebe to me is therefore an
honour to the people of Lagos and, on their behalf, I thank him. My
first invitation was actually to speak here in December 2011 but
previous commitments made that impossible.
When I suggested to Professor Achebe that I will write the speech and
have somebody deliver it, he was emphatic in saying that he would
rather wait for a year until 2012.
Sometime early this year, I wrote to confirm my acceptance and my attendance.
I am Yoruba and interestingly a product of his seminal work, “Things
fall Apart”, as a student of literature in a Nigerian Secondary School.
You cannot imagine my excitement as I prepared for this occasion
sometime in August this year, when I heard of his new book. I ordered a
copy online and requested that it be delivered to me in London in
October whilst I was attending an event there.
I was halfway through the book when I checked the local news online
and saw that things were no longer at ease back home in Nigeria.
Some leaders of my ethnic group had very strong views about parts of the book.
Professor Achebe is from the Igbo ethnic group. As you can also
expect, there were spirited responses from leaders of opinion from his
ethnic group.
My thoughts were to write to Professor Achebe to decline the
invitation and proffer some excuse. I wonder if it crossed his mind to
find a reason to ask me not to bother to come.
But I resolved that a commitment I had made in honour to attend was
more important than what anybody might say or feel. Those were the
values on which I was raised.
More importantly, this was a generational disagreement between the
principal parties of the events that took place when I was barely four
years old.
As I said, the management of the National Archives and the
publication of what really happened at that time will certainly help to
ensure that nobody creates his own facts.
But beyond that, my own generation has moved on. We see our country
differently. It also seems to me that, many years after the conflict,
some of the principal actors in the conflict such as Chief Obafemi
Awolowo, the Yoruba leader, and Chief Odumegwu Ojukwu had decided to
move on.
This was what Ojukwu said when Chief Awolowo passed on in the late 1980s:- “the best President that Nigeria never had”.
It might interest you to also know that one of the active military
leaders of the time, a Yoruba General, did not object to his daughter
subsequently marrying an Igbo man.
My own aunt, a Yoruba Muslim, had a son for an Igbo Christian man and
he is as much my cousin as the others are. Today, the story of our
progress in Lagos State cannot be complete without acknowledging the
role of Ben Akabueze, an Igbo man from Anambra State, who has been my
Commissioner for Budget and Economic Planning for the last 5 (Five)
years.
Interestingly, it is only in Yoruba land, and I stand to be
corrected, where the problem of abandoned properties did not afflict the
Igbos.
They returned back after the war to rightfully claim properties they had deserted in flight in the aftermath of the crisis.
It is instructive to also re-call that, when Lagos State Military
Government, many decades after the war, tried to expropriate Ojukwu’s
property in Lagos, it was a Yoruba lawyer who prosecuted the case
successfully on his behalf.
In my own home, Ojukwu was most welcome. He and my uncle started
primary school the same day and remained lifelong friends until he
passed on.
It was therefore a duty to honour him as I did at his funeral when I said:-
“Ikemba, as he was fondly called ,was an illustrious Nigerian, a
dogged fighter and an accomplished individual, whose footprints and
legacies on Nigeria’s political landscape have earned him a secure place
in its Hall of Fame”. Distinguished ladies and gentlemen, I hope I
speak for my generation if I say we understand how difficult things were
at the time.
We salute the men and women who kept our nation together, especially those who paid the supreme price to do so.
The only way we can honour their memory is not to re-open the old
wounds, but to resolve that never again will our people’s blood be
spilled by their own people in order to harness the diversity of our
people and make our union more perfect.
It is by making this kind of resolve that we can gain from that
conflict and use the lessons to surmount the challenges that stand in
the way of our journey to the promise of our nation.
This is why I have inaugurated the bi-enniel Kuramo conference that
seeks to provoke the formulation of a new globlal legal order which, in
my view, will unlock the closed doors inhibit the progress of the
African Continent.
One of its recent gains is the inauguration of the Lagos Court of
Arbitration which will help keep arbitration business and practice in
Africa instead of exporting them to Europe.
The Kuramo conference also seeks to repartriate Africa’s stolen
wealth back home, develop a global standard for environmental clean up
after oil spillages, reduce the proliferation of small arms amongst many
other objectives that I think are laudable.
These for me must be some of the utilitarian values and
pre-requisites of Statecraft in the 21st Century in Nigeria, West Africa
and every part of the civilized world.
Being the keynote speech at the 2012 Achebe Colloquium on Africa held
at Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island USA on Friday December 7,
2012 delivered by Governor Babatunde Raji Fashola, SAN, on The Role of
Statecraft in the African Renaissance amidst Regime Change and
Ethno-Religious Insurgency – A West African Case Study.
Vanguard