Friday, 27 July 2012

2015: Is the ACN/CPC alliance potent portion to checkmate PDP political stranglehold?

Pointing out that the nation’s political firmament is getting more sophisticated and that people are beginning to demand good governance in return for their votes is stating the obvious. The outcome of the Edo state governorship election, where the incumbent Action Congress of Nigeria governor, Comrade Adams Oshiomhole, roundly defeated the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP)’s candidate, Major General Charles Airhiavbere, speaks volumes on the general perception of the PDP.
Similarly, feelers from Ondo state where the PDP has fielded its former National Legal Adviser, Olusola Oke, as its candidate in the governorship polls scheduled to hold in the next three months are not really in favour of the party. This is because majority of the voters in the state would rather want the continuation of what they call ‘good governance’ than have the status quo return to the state, analysts have said.
The political sophistication and the uncommon awareness among the people across the country must obviously be a source of concern to the ruling party. President Goodluck Jonathan at the recent National Executive Council (NEC) of the party held in Abuja expressed frustration at the dwindling electoral fortunes of the party following the loss of Edo to the opposition when he blamed the failure of his party to win most elections in the country on unresolved internal crises in most states of the federation. 
Obviously speaking against the background of the party’s loss of Edo state governorship election to the opposition Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN), Jonathan said PDP members are the ones voting the opposition into offices in states where it lost elections. To stem the spate of losses to the opposition, the President said the party would have to formally adopt the amended constitution of the party in order to make all its recommended organs work in order to reduce friction and tension within the PDP. 
But he noted that the present republic would have collapsed but for the existence of the PDP which he said was being criticized for its robustness. According to him, the PDP provides the necessary political pedestal that stabilizes the nation’s polity. 
He said “We believe that if we do not have a party as robust as the PDP, probably, the republic would have collapsed. This is because we witnessed what happened in the first republic. Because we witnessed what happened in the first republic and we know the circumstances that led to the collapse of the first republic, second republic. 
“We know what is happening in other African countries. If the ruling party over intimidates and over imposes, using the weight of the Federal Government and the citizens’ revolts, it weakens the political system and creates confusion and instability. 
“But the PDP, even though we control the Federal Government, we operate a system that even the opposition, even fly higher than us. They abuse us more, but we allow it. And it is the PDP that is handling the affairs of the country; that is stabilizing the democracy in the country.” 
Equally expressing frustration with the PDP, a governorship aspirant under the platform of the party in Adamawa state, Dr. Umar Ardo has said that the PDP National Executive Council (NEC) held recently has failed to address the real challenges facing the party. Ardo said the party’s leadership left out the issue of justice and reconciliation of members only to dwell on frivolities.
According to him, the National Chairman of the party, Alhaji Bamanga Tukur has failed in his first outing by losing Edo state to the opposition in the recently conducted governorship polls in the state.
The much brandished robustness of the party, political watchers observed, may soon be punctured if the PDP to adjust its ways by ensuring internal democracy, justice, discipline and good governance. The most potent threat to PDP stranglehold on the nation’s politics is the ongoing moves by the major opposition parties to form an alliance that may have a lethal effect on the party’s influence.
Already, the Action Congress of Nigeria (ACN) and the Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) have gone far in their alliance talks. The All Nigeria Peoples Party (ANPP) has also indicated interest in joining the alliance with a view to giving the ruling party a run for its money by 2015. Senator Ayoade Adeseun (ACN, Oyo) while commenting on the political situation in the country said the PDP will not find it easy retaining the Presidency by 2015.
According to him, “The alliance negotiations have gone far and people are tired of the PDP government; they desire change and this is the change that we intend to provide by 2015. This PDP government is directionless, clueless; our people are hungry and they are being daily impoverished. Surely we can’t continue like this, we need a change.”
Adeseun disclosed that barring unforeseen political circumstances, the plan by the ACN/CPC parley is to present Gen. Muhammadu Buhari (Rtd.) as the Presidential candidate of the union while Senator Ahmed Tinubu would become his running mate. The Senator said all arrangements for the merger scheduled to be consummated by the end of this year have been made.
Optimistic that the opposition would win the 2015 Presidential election, Adeseun said President Jonathan has rubbished the image of the PDP by destroying institutions in the country. He added that the President has refused to implement the budget passed by the National Assembly thereby plunging the nation into the abyss of under-development. He said the nation is facing the challenge of insecurity and unemployment today because the President has refused to release funds to the ministry, departments and agencies (MDAs) for capital budgets thereby causing misery among the populace.
Political scientists who took time to study political developments in the country have pointed out that there are indications that the ruling party would find 2015 tough should the ACN/CPC/ANPP merger work. Basing their observation on the outcome of the Edo governorship election, they posit that the PDP style may fail it by 2015. According to them, the politics of god-fatherism failed the party in Edo and it would continue to fail until the party realizes that good governance is the key to winning elections.
Segun Adewale, a political commentator in his analysis of Edo election said “There was no way the PDP would have won election in Edo and even in the South Westerns states. This is because the party failed to deliver the dividends of democracy when in control. For instance Lucky Igbinedion’s tenure was a disaster for the party in the state. His tenure was characterized by corruption and he was even convicted. How then do you think people would turn around and trade certainty for uncertainties?
“Don’t forget, the same leaders who foisted Igbinedion with his poor performances on the state for eight unbroken years were the same people still sponsoring this Airhiavbere. 
Commenting on the effect of the merger of the opposition on the ruling PDP at the 2015 general elections, Adewale said “The same scenario that you find in Edo may play out at the national level. This is because the PDP government is seriously under-performing. The basic role of the government at all levels is to provide security and an enabling environment for the people to go about their normal businesses. But what do you find? Insecurity everywhere!
“If the merger talks between the three major opposition parties succeed, I see a situation whereby the PDP would find it difficult to retain the presidency and some states of the federation. Every body seems to be tired of the government that has failed to deliver on its promises,” he said.


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